BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kevin Casey vs.
Ildemar Alcantara

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-1 (2 NC) Kevin Casey · UFC
4-3-0 Ildemar Alcantara · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-1 (2 NC)
UFC record
4-3-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
45.1
AgeΔ 1.4 yrs
43.7
5'11"
HeightΔ 3"
6'2"
77"
ReachΔ 1"
78"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
119.3
Layoff (months)Δ 13.4 mo
132.7
LDLNCW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ildemar Alcantara is a submission threat — 0.92 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Ildemar Alcantara hunts takedowns — 2.00 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Kevin Casey owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kevin Casey

Full career not yet synced for Kevin Casey — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Ildemar Alcantara

Full career not yet synced for Ildemar Alcantara — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1702.74/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
1881.93/min · norm 3.17
2363.80/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
2572.63/min · norm 3.06
54.7%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
38.7%norm 44.9%
48.5%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
50.3%norm 55.25%
10.24/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kevin Casey

Distance 69.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 23.8% (norm 10.3%)

Ildemar Alcantara

Distance 83.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.4% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kevin Casey

Head 72.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 8.4%)

Ildemar Alcantara

Head 78.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Casey L/AAccMiddleweight med Alcantara L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 89 / 215 41.4% 40.5% 129 / 406 31.8% 38.6%
In the clinch 20 / 22 too few to rate 70.3% 34 / 41 82.9% 67.8%
On the ground 61 / 74 82.4% 69.1% 25 / 39 64.1% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 103 / 225 45.8% 38.9% 106 / 381 27.8% 37.2%
To the body 38 / 53 71.7% 71.7% 62 / 83 74.7% 70.7%
To the legs 29 / 33 87.9% 83.3% 20 / 22 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Casey L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Alcantara L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 93 / 251 37.1% 39.5% 154 / 354 43.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 87 / 117 74.4% 70.9% 26 / 33 78.8% 68.9%
On the ground 56 / 90 62.2% 69.0% 77 / 130 59.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 133 / 337 39.5% 37.9% 161 / 377 42.7% 35.6%
To the body 76 / 93 81.7% 71.3% 36 / 70 51.4% 69.6%
To the legs 27 / 28 96.4% 82.1% 60 / 70 85.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

321.4% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1368.4% acc · 2.00/15 · norm 1.27
342.9% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2781.8% def · norm 63.9%
18:2629.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
16:2616.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
9:392:20 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
27:184:11 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.48/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
60.92/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Casey has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.