BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kevin Casey vs.
Bubba Bush

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-1 (2 NC) Kevin Casey · UFC
0-1-0 (1 NC) Bubba Bush · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-1 (2 NC)
UFC record
0-1-0 (1 NC)
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
45.1
AgeΔ 4.1 yrs
41
5'11"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
77"
Reach
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
119.3
Layoff (months)Δ 10.1 mo
129.4
LDLNCW
Last 5 (newest first)
LNC
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Bubba Bush absorbs 7.01 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Bubba Bush hunts takedowns — 2.82 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Kevin Casey owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kevin Casey

Full career not yet synced for Kevin Casey — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Bubba Bush

Full career not yet synced for Bubba Bush — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1702.74/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
100.63/min · norm 3.25
2363.80/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
1127.01/min · norm 3.20
54.7%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
55.6%norm 47.4%
48.5%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
25.8%norm 53.8%
10.24/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kevin Casey

Distance 69.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 23.8% (norm 10.3%)

Bubba Bush

Distance 50.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 44.4% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kevin Casey

Head 72.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.0% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 8.4%)

Bubba Bush

Head 55.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.1% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 33.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Casey L/AAccMiddleweight med Bush L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 89 / 215 41.4% 40.5% 5 / 9 too few to rate 40.5%
In the clinch 20 / 22 too few to rate 70.3% 1 / 1 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 61 / 74 82.4% 69.1% 4 / 8 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 103 / 225 45.8% 38.9% 4 / 10 too few to rate 38.9%
To the body 38 / 53 71.7% 71.7% 1 / 2 too few to rate 71.7%
To the legs 29 / 33 87.9% 83.3% 5 / 6 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Casey L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Bush L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 93 / 251 37.1% 39.5% 5 / 17 too few to rate 39.5%
In the clinch 87 / 117 74.4% 70.9% 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 56 / 90 62.2% 69.0% 107 / 134 79.9% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 133 / 337 39.5% 37.9% 101 / 139 72.7% 37.9%
To the body 76 / 93 81.7% 71.3% 10 / 10 too few to rate 71.3%
To the legs 27 / 28 96.4% 82.1% 1 / 2 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

321.4% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
350.0% acc · 2.82/15 · norm 1.42
342.9% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
360.0% def · norm 63.1%
18:2629.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
5:5737.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
9:392:20 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
8:378:05 per 15 · norm 3:00
20.48/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Casey has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.