Kevin Burns vs.
Roan Carneiro
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Kevin Burns
Full career not yet synced for Kevin Burns — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.4 wins over .500
Roan Carneiro
Full career not yet synced for Roan Carneiro — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Kevin Burns
Distance 84.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.4% (norm 8.1%)
Roan Carneiro
Distance 60.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 28.2% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Kevin Burns
Head 75.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 14.7% (norm 8.4%)
Roan Carneiro
Head 85.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Burns L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Carneiro L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 108 / 316 | 34.2% | 38.6% | 61 / 168 | 36.3% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 24 / 37 | 64.9% | 67.8% | 25 / 31 | 80.6% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 13 / 20 | too few to rate | 67.2% | 47 / 78 | 60.3% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 73 / 281 | 26.0% | 37.2% | 98 / 236 | 41.5% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 28 / 37 | 75.7% | 70.7% | 18 / 24 | too few to rate | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 44 / 55 | 80.0% | 82.9% | 17 / 17 | too few to rate | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Burns L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Carneiro L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 165 / 372 | 44.4% | 39.0% | 61 / 267 | 22.8% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 29 / 38 | 76.3% | 68.9% | 24 / 35 | 68.6% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 33 / 69 | 47.8% | 68.0% | 62 / 122 | 50.8% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 127 / 358 | 35.5% | 35.6% | 89 / 342 | 26.0% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 69 / 86 | 80.2% | 69.6% | 33 / 50 | 66.0% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 31 / 35 | 88.6% | 82.1% | 25 / 32 | 78.1% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Carneiro has more cage time on record.