BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ketlen Souza vs.
Karine Silva

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-3-0 Ketlen Souza · UFC
5-3-0 Karine Silva · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-3-0
UFC record
5-3-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
31
AgeΔ 1 yrs
32
5'3"
HeightΔ 2"
5'5"
63"
ReachΔ 4"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
Layoff (months)Δ 1.6 mo
3.6
WWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Karine Silva is a submission threat — 1.38 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Karine Silva hunts takedowns — 2.08 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Ketlen Souza rarely shoots — 0.45 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ketlen Souza

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 3 — regional circuit 133

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.79 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Karine Silva

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 63
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.96 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2734.11/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
1972.27/min · norm 3.91
2583.89/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
2292.64/min · norm 3.81
57.1%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
39.7%norm 44.9%
53.0%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
53.7%norm 55.95%
20.45/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
10.17/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ketlen Souza

Distance 90.0% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 9.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 0.8% (norm 5.0%)

Karine Silva

Distance 87.1% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ketlen Souza

Head 67.8% (norm 76.4%) · Body 20.5% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 11.7% (norm 9.1%)

Karine Silva

Head 62.1% (norm 78.1%) · Body 18.5% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 19.4% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Souza L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Silva L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 232 / 430 54.0% 38.3% 150 / 432 34.7% 39.9%
In the clinch 37 / 44 84.1% 72.6% 30 / 38 78.9% 73.3%
On the ground 4 / 4 too few to rate 75.0% 17 / 26 65.4% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 149 / 324 46.0% 35.4% 83 / 308 26.9% 34.9%
To the body 75 / 98 76.5% 69.3% 45 / 92 48.9% 69.5%
To the legs 49 / 56 87.5% 77.9% 69 / 96 71.9% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Souza L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Silva L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 203 / 477 42.6% 39.7% 174 / 421 41.3% 38.8%
In the clinch 45 / 57 78.9% 71.5% 20 / 28 71.4% 74.1%
On the ground 10 / 15 too few to rate 74.4% 35 / 46 76.1% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 109 / 329 33.1% 36.0% 127 / 358 35.5% 35.3%
To the body 96 / 145 66.2% 68.4% 63 / 87 72.4% 69.0%
To the legs 53 / 75 70.7% 79.1% 39 / 50 78.0% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

213.3% acc · 0.45/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
1254.5% acc · 2.08/15 · norm 1.02
1553.6% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
529.4% def · norm 58.95%
13:1620.0% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
19:5222.9% of cage time · norm 19.15%
14:033:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
25:594:29 per 15 · norm 3:03
10.23/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
81.38/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Silva has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.