BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kenny Robertson vs.
Aaron Simpson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-5-0 Kenny Robertson · UFC
7-4-0 Aaron Simpson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-5-0
UFC record
7-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
42
AgeΔ 10 yrs
52
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
74"
ReachΔ 1"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
118.6
Layoff (months)Δ 47.4 mo
166
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Aaron Simpson hunts takedowns — 3.79 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Aaron Simpson carries real power — 0.71 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Kenny Robertson is a submission threat — 0.85 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kenny Robertson

Full career not yet synced for Kenny Robertson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Aaron Simpson

Full career not yet synced for Aaron Simpson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3273.72/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
4543.58/min · norm 3.25
2653.02/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
3202.53/min · norm 3.20
47.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
52.8%norm 47.4%
52.3%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
56.2%norm 53.8%
20.34/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
60.71/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kenny Robertson

Distance 70.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 15.7% (norm 8.1%)

Aaron Simpson

Distance 52.8% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 29.3% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 17.9% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kenny Robertson

Head 79.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 10.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.9% (norm 8.4%)

Aaron Simpson

Head 70.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Robertson L/AAccWelterweight med Simpson L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 193 / 491 39.3% 38.6% 164 / 454 36.1% 40.5%
In the clinch 65 / 95 68.4% 67.8% 184 / 252 73.0% 70.3%
On the ground 69 / 109 63.3% 67.2% 106 / 154 68.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 206 / 549 37.5% 37.2% 253 / 608 41.6% 38.9%
To the body 51 / 70 72.9% 70.7% 97 / 142 68.3% 71.7%
To the legs 70 / 76 92.1% 82.9% 104 / 110 94.5% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Robertson L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Simpson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 163 / 414 39.4% 39.0% 150 / 473 31.7% 39.5%
In the clinch 53 / 75 70.7% 68.9% 145 / 229 63.3% 70.9%
On the ground 49 / 67 73.1% 68.0% 25 / 28 89.3% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 178 / 443 40.2% 35.6% 192 / 576 33.3% 37.9%
To the body 62 / 88 70.5% 69.6% 52 / 66 78.8% 71.3%
To the legs 25 / 25 100.0% 82.1% 76 / 88 86.4% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

826.7% acc · 1.37/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
3234.8% acc · 3.79/15 · norm 1.42
1657.1% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2583.3% def · norm 63.1%
30:3534.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
53:2642.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
20:083:26 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
16:151:55 per 15 · norm 3:00
50.85/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.47/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Simpson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.