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Kelvin Gastelum vs. Neil Magny

UFC 14-11-0 (1 NC) vs. 25-13-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
14-11-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
25-13-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
34
AgeΔ 5 yrs
39
5'9"
HeightΔ 6"
6'3"
71"
ReachΔ 9"
80"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6.3
Layoff (months)Δ 4.1 mo
2.2
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Neil Magny hunts takedowns — 2.13 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Kelvin Gastelum carries real power — 0.43 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Kelvin Gastelum

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1411
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500

Neil Magny

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2413
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 24 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 18-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12693.65/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
15303.39/min · norm 3.17
12223.52/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
10872.41/min · norm 3.08
42.4%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
47.1%norm 44.75%
57.3%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
51.7%norm 55.25%
100.43/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.07/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kelvin Gastelum

Distance 90.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 4.3% (norm 10.0%)

Neil Magny

Distance 74.6% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 14.4% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kelvin Gastelum

Head 80.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Neil Magny

Head 81.9% (norm 78.3%) · Body 11.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gastelum L/AAccMiddleweight med Magny L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1082 / 2695 40.1% 40.5% 892 / 2425 36.8% 38.5%
In the clinch 109 / 171 63.7% 70.6% 272 / 357 76.2% 67.8%
On the ground 78 / 129 60.5% 69.4% 366 / 468 78.2% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 824 / 2419 34.1% 38.8% 1087 / 2663 40.8% 36.4%
To the body 233 / 326 71.5% 71.6% 283 / 375 75.5% 70.7%
To the legs 212 / 250 84.8% 83.3% 160 / 212 75.5% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gastelum L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Magny L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1052 / 2613 40.3% 39.5% 783 / 1783 43.9% 39.1%
In the clinch 102 / 153 66.7% 70.4% 98 / 171 57.3% 68.9%
On the ground 68 / 97 70.1% 69.0% 206 / 295 69.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 768 / 2234 34.4% 37.9% 628 / 1677 37.4% 35.6%
To the body 274 / 406 67.5% 71.3% 165 / 242 68.2% 69.6%
To the legs 180 / 223 80.7% 82.1% 294 / 330 89.1% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2435.3% acc · 1.04/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
6439.5% acc · 2.13/15 · norm 1.31
5560.4% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
6455.7% def · norm 63.9%
47:1513.6% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
95:3721.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
51:252:13 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
148:174:55 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.09/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
90.30/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Magny has more cage time on record.