BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kelly Dullanty vs.
Matt Serra

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-1-0 Kelly Dullanty · UFC
7-7-0 Matt Serra · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-1-0
UFC record
7-7-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
48
AgeΔ 4 yrs
52
5'8"
HeightΔ 2"
5'6"
Reach
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
292.5
Layoff (months)Δ 102.1 mo
190.4
L
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Kelly Dullanty rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Matt Serra is a submission threat — 0.89 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Matt Serra owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kelly Dullanty

Full career not yet synced for Kelly Dullanty — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Matt Serra

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 77
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.94 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

00.00/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3331.98/min · norm 3.17
20.67/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4442.64/min · norm 3.06
0.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
39.8%norm 44.9%
75.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
46.5%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
50.45/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kelly Dullanty

Distance 0.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 100.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.0%)

Matt Serra

Distance 73.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kelly Dullanty

Head 100.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 0.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.9%)

Matt Serra

Head 75.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Dullanty L/AAccLightweight med Serra L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 0 / 0 too few to rate 37.9% 198 / 611 32.4% 38.6%
In the clinch 0 / 1 too few to rate 67.3% 59 / 84 70.2% 67.8%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1% 76 / 142 53.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 0 / 1 too few to rate 35.0% 171 / 632 27.1% 37.2%
To the body 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1% 112 / 147 76.2% 70.7%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.9% 50 / 58 86.2% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Dullanty L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Serra L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 0 / 2 too few to rate 38.9% 255 / 562 45.4% 39.0%
In the clinch 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.6% 91 / 111 82.0% 68.9%
On the ground 2 / 6 too few to rate 68.0% 98 / 157 62.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 2 / 8 too few to rate 35.1% 286 / 658 43.5% 35.6%
To the body 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.1% 125 / 134 93.3% 69.6%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.5% 33 / 38 86.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2320.9% acc · 2.05/15 · norm 1.27
266.7% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1238.7% def · norm 63.9%
0:116.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
57:3434.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
2:2211:57 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
35:183:08 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
100.89/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Serra has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.