BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Keith Jardine vs.
Wilson Gouveia

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-7-0 Keith Jardine · UFC
6-4-0 Wilson Gouveia · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-7-0
UFC record
6-4-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
50.8
AgeΔ 3 yrs
47.8
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
76"
ReachΔ 0"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
193.6
Layoff (months)Δ 6.2 mo
199.8
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Wilson Gouveia is a submission threat — 2.25 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Wilson Gouveia carries real power — 0.90 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Keith Jardine rarely shoots — 0.34 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Keith Jardine

Full career not yet synced for Keith Jardine — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Wilson Gouveia

Full career not yet synced for Wilson Gouveia — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5384.04/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
2013.02/min · norm 3.41
4073.05/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
2704.06/min · norm 3.35
37.1%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
40.0%norm 48.3%
62.6%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
56.5%norm 52.9%
30.34/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
40.90/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Keith Jardine

Distance 89.6% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 10.4%)

Wilson Gouveia

Distance 80.7% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 13.3% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Keith Jardine

Head 82.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 5.7% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 12.1% (norm 9.7%)

Wilson Gouveia

Head 83.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 1.8% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 14.5% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Jardine L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Gouveia L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 454 / 1298 35.0% 41.4% 148 / 406 36.5% 41.4%
In the clinch 61 / 107 57.0% 70.9% 15 / 30 50.0% 70.9%
On the ground 23 / 44 52.3% 72.3% 38 / 67 56.7% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 321 / 1191 27.0% 38.9% 134 / 421 31.8% 38.9%
To the body 69 / 82 84.1% 71.9% 8 / 9 too few to rate 71.9%
To the legs 148 / 176 84.1% 81.8% 59 / 73 80.8% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Jardine L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Gouveia L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 310 / 945 32.8% 40.4% 166 / 424 39.2% 40.4%
In the clinch 63 / 95 66.3% 68.7% 27 / 45 60.0% 68.7%
On the ground 34 / 47 72.3% 70.4% 77 / 152 50.7% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 280 / 933 30.0% 37.5% 172 / 507 33.9% 37.5%
To the body 49 / 60 81.7% 72.3% 39 / 47 83.0% 72.3%
To the legs 78 / 94 83.0% 83.0% 59 / 67 88.1% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

333.3% acc · 0.34/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
466.7% acc · 0.90/15 · norm 0.87
2865.1% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1157.9% def · norm 66.7%
5:254.1% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
7:5111.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
21:152:23 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
15:223:27 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
102.25/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Jardine has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.