Keith Jardine vs. Ryan Bader
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Keith Jardine
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 7 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 11 | 4 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.49 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 30 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500
Ryan Bader
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 25 | 8 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 6 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.52 · 25 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 40 documented bouts
In the UFC: 10-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Keith Jardine
Distance 89.6% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 7.4% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 10.6%)
Ryan Bader
Distance 68.9% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 24.3% (norm 10.6%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Keith Jardine
Head 82.2% (norm 78.5%) · Body 5.7% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 12.1% (norm 9.7%)
Ryan Bader
Head 84.6% (norm 78.5%) · Body 7.7% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 9.7%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Jardine L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med | Bader L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 454 / 1298 | 35.0% | 41.5% | 278 / 918 | 30.3% | 41.5% |
| In the clinch | 61 / 107 | 57.0% | 70.8% | 59 / 90 | 65.6% | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 23 / 44 | 52.3% | 72.9% | 240 / 324 | 74.1% | 72.9% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 321 / 1191 | 27.0% | 39.2% | 423 / 1127 | 37.5% | 39.2% |
| To the body | 69 / 82 | 84.1% | 72.0% | 71 / 102 | 69.6% | 72.0% |
| To the legs | 148 / 176 | 84.1% | 82.1% | 83 / 103 | 80.6% | 82.1% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Jardine L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med | vs Bader L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 310 / 945 | 32.8% | 40.6% | 218 / 905 | 24.1% | 40.6% |
| In the clinch | 63 / 95 | 66.3% | 68.8% | 31 / 54 | 57.4% | 68.8% |
| On the ground | 34 / 47 | 72.3% | 70.4% | 36 / 50 | 72.0% | 70.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 280 / 933 | 30.0% | 37.7% | 179 / 835 | 21.4% | 37.7% |
| To the body | 49 / 60 | 81.7% | 72.9% | 67 / 115 | 58.3% | 72.9% |
| To the legs | 78 / 94 | 83.0% | 83.1% | 39 / 59 | 66.1% | 83.1% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Bader has more cage time on record.