Keita Nakamura vs. Tom Breese
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Keita Nakamura
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 9 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 30 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.86 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 25 finish wins over 51 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500
Tom Breese
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 4 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 1 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 14 | 4 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.88 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 29 documented bouts
In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Keita Nakamura
Distance 88.3% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 5.9% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 5.7% (norm 8.1%)
Tom Breese
Distance 81.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.7% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 10.0% (norm 10.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Keita Nakamura
Head 87.9% (norm 78.3%) · Body 8.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.7% (norm 8.0%)
Tom Breese
Head 76.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 19.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Nakamura L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Breese L/A | Acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 267 / 834 | 32.0% | 38.5% | 139 / 300 | 46.3% | 40.5% |
| In the clinch | 37 / 56 | 66.1% | 67.8% | 25 / 32 | 78.1% | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 33 / 54 | 61.1% | 67.0% | 24 / 37 | 64.9% | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 267 / 830 | 32.2% | 36.4% | 126 / 282 | 44.7% | 38.8% |
| To the body | 49 / 79 | 62.0% | 70.7% | 49 / 72 | 68.1% | 71.6% |
| To the legs | 21 / 35 | 60.0% | 83.0% | 13 / 15 | too few to rate | 83.3% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Nakamura L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Breese L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 379 / 994 | 38.1% | 39.1% | 98 / 311 | 31.5% | 39.5% |
| In the clinch | 76 / 114 | 66.7% | 68.9% | 19 / 29 | 65.5% | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 69 / 129 | 53.5% | 68.0% | 41 / 60 | 68.3% | 69.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 346 / 1016 | 34.1% | 35.6% | 105 / 320 | 32.8% | 37.9% |
| To the body | 104 / 141 | 73.8% | 69.6% | 31 / 47 | 66.0% | 71.3% |
| To the legs | 74 / 80 | 92.5% | 82.2% | 22 / 33 | 66.7% | 82.1% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nakamura has more cage time on record.