BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Keita Nakamura vs.
Kyle Noke

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-7-0 Keita Nakamura · UFC
6-6-0 Kyle Noke · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-7-0
UFC record
6-6-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
42.2
AgeΔ 4.2 yrs
46.4
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
73"
ReachΔ 3"
76"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
87.5
Layoff (months)Δ 28.8 mo
116.3
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Keita Nakamura hunts takedowns — 1.72 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Kyle Noke defends leg kicks well — opponents land just 54%, vs a 82% Welterweight norm.
Kyle Noke is hard to hit — absorbs 2.14 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.06 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Keita Nakamura

Full career not yet synced for Keita Nakamura — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Kyle Noke

Full career not yet synced for Kyle Noke — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3372.14/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3573.30/min · norm 3.17
5243.33/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2322.14/min · norm 3.06
35.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
51.1%norm 44.9%
57.6%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
62.3%norm 55.25%
40.38/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
30.42/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Keita Nakamura

Distance 88.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 5.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.7% (norm 8.1%)

Kyle Noke

Distance 76.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Keita Nakamura

Head 87.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.7% (norm 8.4%)

Kyle Noke

Head 62.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 21.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nakamura L/AAccWelterweight med Noke L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 267 / 834 32.0% 38.6% 250 / 533 46.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 37 / 56 66.1% 67.8% 22 / 39 56.4% 67.8%
On the ground 33 / 54 61.1% 67.2% 85 / 127 66.9% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 267 / 830 32.2% 37.2% 170 / 439 38.7% 37.2%
To the body 49 / 79 62.0% 70.7% 72 / 110 65.5% 70.7%
To the legs 21 / 35 60.0% 82.9% 115 / 150 76.7% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nakamura L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Noke L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 379 / 994 38.1% 39.0% 149 / 489 30.5% 39.0%
In the clinch 76 / 114 66.7% 68.9% 20 / 41 48.8% 68.9%
On the ground 69 / 129 53.5% 68.0% 63 / 85 74.1% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 346 / 1016 34.1% 35.6% 183 / 526 34.8% 35.6%
To the body 104 / 141 73.8% 69.6% 28 / 50 56.0% 69.6%
To the legs 74 / 80 92.5% 82.1% 21 / 39 53.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1851.4% acc · 1.72/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1155.0% acc · 1.52/15 · norm 1.27
2363.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2066.7% def · norm 63.9%
23:4415.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
17:1615.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
33:303:11 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
24:403:24 per 15 · norm 3:15
40.38/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
40.55/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Noke has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.