BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Keita Nakamura vs.
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-7-0 Keita Nakamura · UFC
11-6-1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-7-0
UFC record
11-6-1
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
42.2
AgeΔ 2.5 yrs
39.7
5'11"
HeightΔ 0"
5'11"
73"
ReachΔ 0"
73"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
87.5
Layoff (months)Δ 75.4 mo
12.1
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLD
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos rarely shoots — 0.79 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Keita Nakamura hunts takedowns — 1.72 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos outworks the Welterweight division — 4.16 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Keita Nakamura

Full career not yet synced for Keita Nakamura — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 116
Tier 3 — regional circuit 144

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.96 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3372.14/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
8684.16/min · norm 3.17
5243.33/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
7423.56/min · norm 3.06
35.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
41.9%norm 44.9%
57.6%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
55.6%norm 55.25%
40.38/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
20.14/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Keita Nakamura

Distance 88.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 5.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.7% (norm 8.1%)

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Distance 82.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.6% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Keita Nakamura

Head 87.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.7% (norm 8.4%)

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Head 74.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nakamura L/AAccWelterweight med Santos L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 267 / 834 32.0% 38.6% 631 / 1711 36.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 37 / 56 66.1% 67.8% 171 / 243 70.4% 67.8%
On the ground 33 / 54 61.1% 67.2% 66 / 117 56.4% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 267 / 830 32.2% 37.2% 499 / 1547 32.3% 37.2%
To the body 49 / 79 62.0% 70.7% 198 / 311 63.7% 70.7%
To the legs 21 / 35 60.0% 82.9% 171 / 213 80.3% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nakamura L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Santos L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 379 / 994 38.1% 39.0% 572 / 1438 39.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 76 / 114 66.7% 68.9% 101 / 142 71.1% 68.9%
On the ground 69 / 129 53.5% 68.0% 69 / 93 74.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 346 / 1016 34.1% 35.6% 481 / 1310 36.7% 35.6%
To the body 104 / 141 73.8% 69.6% 131 / 206 63.6% 69.6%
To the legs 74 / 80 92.5% 82.1% 130 / 157 82.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1851.4% acc · 1.72/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1120.8% acc · 0.79/15 · norm 1.27
2363.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4767.1% def · norm 63.9%
23:4415.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
30:0514.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
33:303:11 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
33:152:23 per 15 · norm 3:15
40.38/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
60.43/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Santos has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.