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Keita Nakamura vs. Brock Larson

UFC 4-7-0 vs. 3-3-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
4-7-0
UFC record
3-3-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
42
AgeΔ 7 yrs
49
5'11"
HeightΔ 0"
5'11"
73"
ReachΔ 2"
71"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
90
Layoff (months)Δ 112.9 mo
202.9
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Brock Larson is a submission threat — 1.79 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Brock Larson hunts takedowns — 2.31 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.
Keita Nakamura hunts takedowns — 1.72 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Keita Nakamura

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 69
Tier 3 — regional circuit 303

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.86 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 25 finish wins over 51 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Brock Larson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 11
Tier 3 — regional circuit 325

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.93 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 32 finish wins over 47 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3372.14/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
701.20/min · norm 3.17
5243.33/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
971.66/min · norm 3.08
35.7%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
46.1%norm 44.75%
57.6%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
55.3%norm 55.25%
40.38/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Keita Nakamura

Distance 88.3% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 5.9% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 5.7% (norm 8.1%)

Brock Larson

Distance 47.4% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 27.0% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 25.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Keita Nakamura

Head 87.9% (norm 78.3%) · Body 8.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.7% (norm 8.0%)

Brock Larson

Head 82.9% (norm 78.3%) · Body 9.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.9% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Nakamura L/AAccWelterweight med Larson L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 267 / 834 32.0% 38.5% 20 / 72 27.8% 38.5%
In the clinch 37 / 56 66.1% 67.8% 25 / 41 61.0% 67.8%
On the ground 33 / 54 61.1% 67.0% 25 / 39 64.1% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 267 / 830 32.2% 36.4% 48 / 126 38.1% 36.4%
To the body 49 / 79 62.0% 70.7% 11 / 14 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 21 / 35 60.0% 83.0% 11 / 12 too few to rate 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Nakamura L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Larson L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 379 / 994 38.1% 39.1% 26 / 97 26.8% 39.1%
In the clinch 76 / 114 66.7% 68.9% 18 / 34 52.9% 68.9%
On the ground 69 / 129 53.5% 68.0% 53 / 86 61.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 346 / 1016 34.1% 35.6% 57 / 166 34.3% 35.6%
To the body 104 / 141 73.8% 69.6% 19 / 25 76.0% 69.6%
To the legs 74 / 80 92.5% 82.2% 21 / 26 80.8% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1851.4% acc · 1.72/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
930.0% acc · 2.31/15 · norm 1.31
2363.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1043.5% def · norm 63.9%
23:4415.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
18:2031.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
33:303:11 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
24:536:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
40.38/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
71.79/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nakamura has more cage time on record.