BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kaynan Kruschewsky vs.
Kurt Holobaugh

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-2-0 Kaynan Kruschewsky · UFC
2-7-0 Kurt Holobaugh · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-2-0
UFC record
2-7-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
35
AgeΔ 4 yrs
39
6'0"
HeightΔ 1"
5'11"
73"
ReachΔ 3"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
24.5
Layoff (months)Δ 10.3 mo
14.2
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Kaynan Kruschewsky is a submission threat — 1.58 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Kaynan Kruschewsky hunts takedowns — 2.37 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Kurt Holobaugh is a submission threat — 0.77 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kaynan Kruschewsky

Full career not yet synced for Kaynan Kruschewsky — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500

Kurt Holobaugh

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 27
Tier 3 — regional circuit 203

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

975.10/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
4564.65/min · norm 3.42
1085.68/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4434.52/min · norm 3.37
51.9%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
45.0%norm 43.5%
47.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
48.5%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.15/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kaynan Kruschewsky

Distance 77.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 17.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 8.0%)

Kurt Holobaugh

Distance 86.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kaynan Kruschewsky

Head 77.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 21.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.5% (norm 7.9%)

Kurt Holobaugh

Head 77.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kruschewsky L/AAccLightweight med Holobaugh L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 61 / 145 42.1% 37.9% 357 / 880 40.6% 37.9%
In the clinch 28 / 33 84.8% 67.3% 75 / 104 72.1% 67.3%
On the ground 8 / 9 too few to rate 69.1% 24 / 30 80.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 67 / 145 46.2% 35.0% 283 / 784 36.1% 35.0%
To the body 29 / 41 70.7% 69.1% 113 / 153 73.9% 69.1%
To the legs 1 / 1 too few to rate 81.9% 60 / 77 77.9% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kruschewsky L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Holobaugh L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 90 / 174 51.7% 38.9% 292 / 648 45.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 18 / 30 60.0% 68.6% 72 / 102 70.6% 68.6%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.0% 79 / 110 71.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 64 / 151 42.4% 35.1% 329 / 717 45.9% 35.1%
To the body 27 / 33 81.8% 68.1% 80 / 103 77.7% 68.1%
To the legs 17 / 20 too few to rate 81.5% 34 / 40 85.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3100.0% acc · 2.37/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
533.3% acc · 0.77/15 · norm 1.38
375.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1336.1% def · norm 64.0%
2:4714.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
16:1616.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
5:244:15 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
41:386:22 per 15 · norm 2:46
21.58/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
50.77/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Holobaugh has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.