Katlyn Cerminara vs.
Lauren Murphy
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Katlyn Cerminara
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 11 | 6 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 7 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 24 documented bouts
In the UFC: 9-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500
Lauren Murphy
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 8 | 7 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 1 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 7 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 23 documented bouts
In the UFC: 4-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Katlyn Cerminara
Distance 93.9% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 4.9%)
Lauren Murphy
Distance 87.3% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 5.4% (norm 4.9%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Katlyn Cerminara
Head 79.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 7.7%)
Lauren Murphy
Head 87.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 7.3% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.7%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Cerminara L/A | Acc | Women's Flyweight med | Murphy L/A | Acc | Women's Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 960 / 2967 | 32.4% | 39.9% | 628 / 1960 | 32.0% | 39.9% |
| In the clinch | 86 / 123 | 69.9% | 73.3% | 129 / 163 | 79.1% | 73.3% |
| On the ground | 58 / 69 | 84.1% | 74.7% | 107 / 122 | 87.7% | 74.7% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 677 / 2520 | 26.9% | 34.9% | 644 / 1963 | 32.8% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 269 / 437 | 61.6% | 69.5% | 116 / 164 | 70.7% | 69.5% |
| To the legs | 158 / 202 | 78.2% | 82.6% | 104 / 118 | 88.1% | 82.6% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Cerminara L/A | Opp acc | Women's Flyweight med | vs Murphy L/A | Opp acc | Women's Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 942 / 2687 | 35.1% | 38.8% | 979 / 2418 | 40.5% | 38.8% |
| In the clinch | 98 / 129 | 76.0% | 74.1% | 110 / 149 | 73.8% | 74.1% |
| On the ground | 40 / 47 | 85.1% | 73.4% | 48 / 66 | 72.7% | 73.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 563 / 2131 | 26.4% | 35.3% | 731 / 2073 | 35.3% | 35.3% |
| To the body | 186 / 325 | 57.2% | 69.0% | 196 / 304 | 64.5% | 69.0% |
| To the legs | 331 / 407 | 81.3% | 78.7% | 210 / 256 | 82.0% | 78.7% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cerminara has more cage time on record.