BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Katlyn Cerminara vs.
Antonina Shevchenko

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-6-0 Katlyn Cerminara · UFC
4-4-0 Antonina Shevchenko · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-6-0
UFC record
4-4-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
37.6
AgeΔ 4.1 yrs
41.7
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
68"
ReachΔ 1"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
28.9
Layoff (months)Δ 20 mo
48.9
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Katlyn Cerminara rarely shoots — 0.31 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Antonina Shevchenko rarely shoots — 0.47 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Antonina Shevchenko is a submission threat — 0.47 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Katlyn Cerminara

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 116
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 3 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500

Antonina Shevchenko

Full career not yet synced for Antonina Shevchenko — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11044.58/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
3283.43/min · norm 3.91
10804.48/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
2903.04/min · norm 3.81
34.9%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
53.3%norm 44.9%
62.3%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
52.8%norm 55.95%
10.06/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Katlyn Cerminara

Distance 93.9% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 4.9%)

Antonina Shevchenko

Distance 76.4% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 13.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 10.6% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Katlyn Cerminara

Head 79.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 13.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 7.7%)

Antonina Shevchenko

Head 75.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 17.6% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 6.7% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cerminara L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Shevchenko L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 960 / 2967 32.4% 39.9% 218 / 470 46.4% 39.9%
In the clinch 86 / 123 69.9% 73.3% 65 / 80 81.2% 73.3%
On the ground 58 / 69 84.1% 74.7% 45 / 65 69.2% 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 677 / 2520 26.9% 34.9% 211 / 466 45.3% 34.9%
To the body 269 / 437 61.6% 69.5% 80 / 108 74.1% 69.5%
To the legs 158 / 202 78.2% 82.6% 37 / 41 90.2% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cerminara L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Shevchenko L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 942 / 2687 35.1% 38.8% 139 / 425 32.7% 38.8%
In the clinch 98 / 129 76.0% 74.1% 32 / 42 76.2% 74.1%
On the ground 40 / 47 85.1% 73.4% 119 / 148 80.4% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 563 / 2131 26.4% 35.3% 207 / 490 42.2% 35.3%
To the body 186 / 325 57.2% 69.0% 45 / 67 67.2% 69.0%
To the legs 331 / 407 81.3% 78.7% 38 / 58 65.5% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

515.6% acc · 0.31/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
342.9% acc · 0.47/15 · norm 1.02
2650.0% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1648.5% def · norm 58.95%
19:007.9% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
22:1923.4% of cage time · norm 19.15%
38:452:24 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
34:585:29 per 15 · norm 3:03
50.31/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
30.47/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cerminara has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.