BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs.
Rose Namajunas

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-10-0 Karolina Kowalkiewicz · UFC
12-7-0 Rose Namajunas · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-10-0
UFC record
12-7-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
40.8
AgeΔ 6.7 yrs
34.1
5'3"
HeightΔ 2"
5'5"
64"
ReachΔ 1"
65"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
9.8
Layoff (months)Δ 3.4 mo
6.4
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz rarely shoots — 0.36 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz outworks the Women's Strawweight division — 5.54 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.77 norm.
Rose Namajunas hunts takedowns — 1.47 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 910
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.74 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 4 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Rose Namajunas

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 127
Tier 3 — regional circuit 21

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

13945.54/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
10403.50/min · norm 3.77
14515.77/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
10043.38/min · norm 3.94
43.0%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
41.1%norm 44.5%
56.9%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
63.7%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
60.30/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Distance 88.2% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 1.5% (norm 5.0%)

Rose Namajunas

Distance 90.5% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Head 76.9% (norm 76.4%) · Body 15.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 9.1%)

Rose Namajunas

Head 83.2% (norm 76.4%) · Body 11.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.9% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kowalkiewicz L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Namajunas L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1101 / 2859 38.5% 38.3% 871 / 2290 38.0% 38.3%
In the clinch 253 / 334 75.7% 72.6% 71 / 107 66.4% 72.6%
On the ground 40 / 50 80.0% 75.0% 98 / 133 73.7% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 852 / 2494 34.2% 35.4% 744 / 2105 35.3% 35.4%
To the body 370 / 517 71.6% 69.3% 195 / 300 65.0% 69.3%
To the legs 172 / 232 74.1% 77.9% 101 / 125 80.8% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kowalkiewicz L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Namajunas L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1172 / 2983 39.3% 39.7% 836 / 2511 33.3% 39.7%
In the clinch 230 / 324 71.0% 71.5% 115 / 175 65.7% 71.5%
On the ground 49 / 57 86.0% 74.4% 53 / 78 67.9% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 858 / 2517 34.1% 36.0% 510 / 2078 24.5% 36.0%
To the body 376 / 560 67.1% 68.4% 216 / 344 62.8% 68.4%
To the legs 217 / 287 75.6% 79.1% 278 / 342 81.3% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

623.1% acc · 0.36/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
2948.3% acc · 1.47/15 · norm 1.10
5074.6% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
4162.1% def · norm 64.1%
26:0010.3% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
58:3619.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
45:322:42 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
29:461:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.18/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
70.35/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kowalkiewicz has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.