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Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs. Alexa Grasso

UFC 9-10-0 vs. 10-5-1

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
9-10-0
UFC record
10-5-1
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
41
AgeΔ 8 yrs
33
5'3"
HeightΔ 2"
5'5"
64"
ReachΔ 2"
66"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
12.3
Layoff (months)Δ 11.1 mo
1.2
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLD

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Alexa Grasso is a submission threat — 0.63 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Alexa Grasso carries real power — 0.19 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.10 Women's Flyweight norm.
Karolina Kowalkiewicz rarely shoots — 0.36 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 910
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.74 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 4 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Alexa Grasso

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 95
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.2 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

13945.54/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
10014.19/min · norm 3.93
14515.77/min · norm 4.00
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
9033.78/min · norm 3.84
43.0%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
41.1%norm 45.5%
56.9%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
59.7%norm 56.1%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
30.19/15 · norm 0.10

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Distance 88.2% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.3% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 1.5% (norm 5.0%)

Alexa Grasso

Distance 89.9% (norm 87.5%) · Clinch 8.3% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 1.8% (norm 4.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Karolina Kowalkiewicz

Head 76.9% (norm 76.6%) · Body 15.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 9.1%)

Alexa Grasso

Head 77.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 11.2% (norm 14.5%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kowalkiewicz L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Grasso L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1101 / 2859 38.5% 38.3% 819 / 2191 37.4% 40.3%
In the clinch 253 / 334 75.7% 72.6% 150 / 202 74.3% 73.9%
On the ground 40 / 50 80.0% 75.0% 32 / 43 74.4% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 852 / 2494 34.2% 35.4% 633 / 1886 33.6% 36.0%
To the body 370 / 517 71.6% 69.3% 179 / 272 65.8% 69.5%
To the legs 172 / 232 74.1% 77.9% 189 / 278 68.0% 82.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 47 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kowalkiewicz L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Grasso L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1172 / 2983 39.3% 39.7% 779 / 2061 37.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 230 / 324 71.0% 71.2% 78 / 117 66.7% 73.8%
On the ground 49 / 57 86.0% 74.4% 46 / 61 75.4% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 858 / 2517 34.1% 36.0% 649 / 1888 34.4% 35.0%
To the body 376 / 560 67.1% 68.7% 164 / 236 69.5% 69.0%
To the legs 217 / 287 75.6% 79.1% 90 / 115 78.3% 78.7%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
623.1% acc · 0.36/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
635.3% acc · 0.38/15 · norm 0.94
5074.6% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
4054.8% def · norm 61.1%
26:0010.3% of cage time · norm 19.0%
Control time
22:129.3% of cage time · norm 18.7%
45:322:42 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
54:093:23 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.18/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
100.63/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kowalkiewicz has more cage time on record.