BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Karol Rosa vs.
Vanessa Melo

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-5-0 Karol Rosa · UFC
1-3-0 Vanessa Melo · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-5-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
31
AgeΔ 7 yrs
38
5'5"
HeightΔ 0"
5'5"
67"
ReachΔ 2"
65"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1.5
Layoff (months)Δ 65.1 mo
66.6
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Vanessa Melo rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.91 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Karol Rosa carries real power — 0.15 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.08 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Vanessa Melo absorbs 6.13 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.51 Women's Bantamweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Karol Rosa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 3 — regional circuit 113

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.82 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Vanessa Melo

Full career not yet synced for Vanessa Melo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10665.47/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
2093.48/min · norm 3.56
8354.28/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
3686.13/min · norm 3.51
55.6%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
30.8%norm 46.65%
49.5%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
59.2%norm 52.45%
20.15/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Karol Rosa

Distance 85.2% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 7.5%)

Vanessa Melo

Distance 98.5% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 1.2% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 0.3% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Karol Rosa

Head 71.3% (norm 75.2%) · Body 8.9% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 19.8% (norm 8.8%)

Vanessa Melo

Head 85.0% (norm 75.2%) · Body 8.7% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 6.3% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rosa L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Melo L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 853 / 1634 52.2% 38.3% 199 / 669 29.7% 38.3%
In the clinch 112 / 144 77.8% 73.3% 8 / 8 too few to rate 73.3%
On the ground 101 / 139 72.7% 70.8% 2 / 2 too few to rate 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 623 / 1366 45.6% 37.7% 145 / 577 25.1% 37.7%
To the body 136 / 171 79.5% 70.0% 30 / 59 50.8% 70.0%
To the legs 307 / 380 80.8% 80.9% 34 / 43 79.1% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rosa L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Melo L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 710 / 1493 47.6% 41.3% 301 / 813 37.0% 41.3%
In the clinch 103 / 133 77.4% 74.7% 14 / 14 too few to rate 74.7%
On the ground 22 / 28 78.6% 74.2% 53 / 74 71.6% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 479 / 1216 39.4% 38.1% 226 / 722 31.3% 38.1%
To the body 195 / 250 78.0% 73.2% 55 / 79 69.6% 73.2%
To the legs 161 / 188 85.6% 80.9% 87 / 100 87.0% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1448.3% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.91
2773.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
1071.4% def · norm 62.5%
52:2026.8% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
0:250.7% of cage time · norm 26.55%
39:083:00 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
14:363:39 per 15 · norm 3:19
20.15/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rosa has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.