BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Karol Rosa vs.
Lara Procopio

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-5-0 Karol Rosa · UFC
1-2-0 Lara Procopio · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-5-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Flyweight
31
AgeΔ 1 yrs
30
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'4"
67"
ReachΔ 0"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
1.5
Layoff (months)Δ 60.1 mo
61.6
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Lara Procopio hunts takedowns — 3.15 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Karol Rosa carries real power — 0.15 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.08 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Lara Procopio owns the mat — in control 35% of cage time, vs a 19% Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Karol Rosa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 3 — regional circuit 113

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.82 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Lara Procopio

Full career not yet synced for Lara Procopio — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10665.47/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
2425.64/min · norm 3.91
8354.28/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
2796.50/min · norm 3.81
55.6%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
58.6%norm 44.9%
49.5%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
47.1%norm 55.95%
20.15/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.09

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Karol Rosa

Distance 85.2% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 7.5%)

Lara Procopio

Distance 89.3% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 4.9%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Karol Rosa

Head 71.3% (norm 75.2%) · Body 8.9% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 19.8% (norm 8.8%)

Lara Procopio

Head 78.2% (norm 78.1%) · Body 10.4% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 7.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rosa L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Procopio L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 853 / 1634 52.2% 38.3% 203 / 369 55.0% 39.9%
In the clinch 112 / 144 77.8% 73.3% 30 / 35 85.7% 73.3%
On the ground 101 / 139 72.7% 70.8% 9 / 9 too few to rate 74.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 623 / 1366 45.6% 37.7% 159 / 323 49.2% 34.9%
To the body 136 / 171 79.5% 70.0% 39 / 43 90.7% 69.5%
To the legs 307 / 380 80.8% 80.9% 44 / 47 93.6% 82.6%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rosa L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Procopio L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 710 / 1493 47.6% 41.3% 223 / 455 49.0% 38.8%
In the clinch 103 / 133 77.4% 74.7% 27 / 35 77.1% 74.1%
On the ground 22 / 28 78.6% 74.2% 29 / 37 78.4% 73.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 479 / 1216 39.4% 38.1% 166 / 388 42.8% 35.3%
To the body 195 / 250 78.0% 73.2% 47 / 55 85.5% 69.0%
To the legs 161 / 188 85.6% 80.9% 66 / 84 78.6% 78.7%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1448.3% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
947.4% acc · 3.15/15 · norm 1.02
2773.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
150.0% def · norm 58.95%
52:2026.8% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
14:5534.8% of cage time · norm 19.15%
39:083:00 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
7:362:39 per 15 · norm 3:03
20.15/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
10.35/15 · norm 0.32

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rosa has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.