BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Karl Williams vs.
Lukasz Brzeski

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-1-0 Karl Williams · UFC
1-6-0 Lukasz Brzeski · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-1-0
UFC record
1-6-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
36.6
AgeΔ 2.4 yrs
34.2
6'3"
HeightΔ 0"
6'3"
79"
ReachΔ 1"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
23.9
Layoff (months)Δ 11.3 mo
12.6
LWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Karl Williams hunts takedowns — 4.50 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Karl Williams owns the mat — in control 43% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Lukasz Brzeski rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Karl Williams

Full career not yet synced for Karl Williams — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.2 wins over .500

Lukasz Brzeski

Full career not yet synced for Lukasz Brzeski — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1772.95/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
2774.69/min · norm 3.36
1602.67/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
2233.78/min · norm 3.19
48.1%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
49.3%norm 47.8%
54.3%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
55.3%norm 52.5%
10.25/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Karl Williams

Distance 80.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 3.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 16.0% (norm 9.3%)

Lukasz Brzeski

Distance 96.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 3.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 0.2% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Karl Williams

Head 86.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 6.0% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.6%)

Lukasz Brzeski

Head 67.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 19.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 13.2% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Williams L/AAccHeavyweight med Brzeski L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 131 / 297 44.1% 40.1% 264 / 541 48.8% 40.1%
In the clinch 7 / 12 too few to rate 70.6% 13 / 20 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 39 / 59 66.1% 70.2% 0 / 1 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 132 / 318 41.5% 38.9% 125 / 380 32.9% 38.9%
To the body 19 / 22 too few to rate 76.8% 84 / 108 77.8% 76.8%
To the legs 26 / 28 92.9% 87.8% 68 / 74 91.9% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Williams L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Brzeski L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 144 / 328 43.9% 40.7% 178 / 437 40.7% 40.7%
In the clinch 15 / 20 too few to rate 70.6% 11 / 18 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 1 / 2 too few to rate 72.0% 34 / 44 77.3% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 92 / 274 33.6% 38.8% 165 / 425 38.8% 38.8%
To the body 24 / 30 80.0% 75.1% 26 / 38 68.4% 75.1%
To the legs 44 / 46 95.7% 84.4% 32 / 36 88.9% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1845.0% acc · 4.50/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
1100.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
631.6% def · norm 64.3%
25:5843.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
1:122.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
0:410:10 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
19:595:04 per 15 · norm 2:28
10.25/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Brzeski has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.