BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Karl Roberson vs.
Wellington Turman

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-6-0 Karl Roberson · UFC
3-6-0 Wellington Turman · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-6-0
UFC record
3-6-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
35.8
AgeΔ 5.8 yrs
30
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
74"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
48.9
Layoff (months)Δ 16.8 mo
32.1
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Wellington Turman is a submission threat — 0.78 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Karl Roberson rarely shoots — 0.73 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Wellington Turman owns the mat — in control 29% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Karl Roberson

Full career not yet synced for Karl Roberson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Wellington Turman

Full career not yet synced for Wellington Turman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2082.51/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
3123.23/min · norm 3.25
2002.42/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
4034.17/min · norm 3.20
51.5%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
51.2%norm 47.4%
57.7%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
45.2%norm 53.8%
10.18/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Karl Roberson

Distance 75.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 16.3% (norm 10.3%)

Wellington Turman

Distance 84.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.5% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 5.7% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Karl Roberson

Head 74.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 8.4%)

Wellington Turman

Head 71.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Roberson L/AAccMiddleweight med Turman L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 122 / 303 40.3% 40.5% 237 / 516 45.9% 40.5%
In the clinch 33 / 35 94.3% 70.3% 51 / 58 87.9% 70.3%
On the ground 53 / 66 80.3% 69.1% 24 / 35 68.6% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 127 / 299 42.5% 38.9% 183 / 435 42.1% 38.9%
To the body 37 / 54 68.5% 71.7% 64 / 100 64.0% 71.7%
To the legs 44 / 51 86.3% 83.3% 65 / 74 87.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Roberson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Turman L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 100 / 344 29.1% 39.5% 261 / 560 46.6% 39.5%
In the clinch 14 / 18 too few to rate 70.9% 56 / 64 87.5% 70.9%
On the ground 86 / 111 77.5% 69.0% 86 / 112 76.8% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 147 / 384 38.3% 37.9% 270 / 573 47.1% 37.9%
To the body 32 / 53 60.4% 71.3% 87 / 116 75.0% 71.3%
To the legs 21 / 36 58.3% 82.1% 46 / 47 97.9% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

440.0% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1020.8% acc · 1.55/15 · norm 1.42
1140.7% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
942.9% def · norm 63.1%
14:2617.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
28:0329.0% of cage time · norm 19.75%
30:005:26 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
26:134:04 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.54/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
50.78/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Roberson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.