BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Karl Roberson vs.
Marvin Vettori

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-6-0 Karl Roberson · UFC
9-8-1 Marvin Vettori · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-6-0
UFC record
9-8-1
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
35.8
AgeΔ 2.9 yrs
32.9
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
74"
ReachΔ 0"
74"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
48.9
Layoff (months)Δ 40.9 mo
8
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Karl Roberson rarely shoots — 0.73 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Marvin Vettori outworks the Middleweight division — 4.74 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Marvin Vettori absorbs 4.55 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Karl Roberson

Full career not yet synced for Karl Roberson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Marvin Vettori

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 98
Tier 3 — regional circuit 102

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.89 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 30 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2082.51/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
14644.74/min · norm 3.25
2002.42/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
14064.55/min · norm 3.20
51.5%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
45.9%norm 47.4%
57.7%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
56.1%norm 53.8%
10.18/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.05/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Karl Roberson

Distance 75.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 16.3% (norm 10.3%)

Marvin Vettori

Distance 91.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.4% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Karl Roberson

Head 74.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 8.4%)

Marvin Vettori

Head 88.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 5.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Roberson L/AAccMiddleweight med Vettori L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 122 / 303 40.3% 40.5% 1277 / 2921 43.7% 40.5%
In the clinch 33 / 35 94.3% 70.3% 85 / 129 65.9% 70.3%
On the ground 53 / 66 80.3% 69.1% 102 / 141 72.3% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 127 / 299 42.5% 38.9% 1144 / 2814 40.7% 38.9%
To the body 37 / 54 68.5% 71.7% 146 / 184 79.3% 71.7%
To the legs 44 / 51 86.3% 83.3% 174 / 193 90.2% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Roberson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Vettori L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 100 / 344 29.1% 39.5% 1279 / 3016 42.4% 39.5%
In the clinch 14 / 18 too few to rate 70.9% 85 / 123 69.1% 70.9%
On the ground 86 / 111 77.5% 69.0% 42 / 62 67.7% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 147 / 384 38.3% 37.9% 881 / 2516 35.0% 37.9%
To the body 32 / 53 60.4% 71.3% 252 / 350 72.0% 71.3%
To the legs 21 / 36 58.3% 82.1% 273 / 335 81.5% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

440.0% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
2943.9% acc · 1.41/15 · norm 1.42
1140.7% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
3768.5% def · norm 63.1%
14:2617.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
57:0118.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
30:005:26 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
18:320:54 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.54/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
80.39/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Vettori has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.