BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Karl Roberson vs.
Brendan Allen

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-6-0 Karl Roberson · UFC
15-4-0 Brendan Allen · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-6-0
UFC record
15-4-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
35.8
AgeΔ 5.2 yrs
30.6
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
74"
ReachΔ 1"
75"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
48.9
Layoff (months)Δ 46.9 mo
2
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Brendan Allen is a submission threat — 1.01 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Brendan Allen owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Karl Roberson rarely shoots — 0.73 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Karl Roberson

Full career not yet synced for Karl Roberson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Brendan Allen

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 164
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 63
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 22 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2082.51/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
8343.74/min · norm 3.25
2002.42/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
8353.74/min · norm 3.20
51.5%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
52.3%norm 47.4%
57.7%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
48.2%norm 53.8%
10.18/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.20/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Karl Roberson

Distance 75.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 16.3% (norm 10.3%)

Brendan Allen

Distance 83.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 11.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Karl Roberson

Head 74.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 8.4%)

Brendan Allen

Head 79.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Roberson L/AAccMiddleweight med Allen L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 122 / 303 40.3% 40.5% 650 / 1328 48.9% 40.5%
In the clinch 33 / 35 94.3% 70.3% 56 / 86 65.1% 70.3%
On the ground 53 / 66 80.3% 69.1% 128 / 181 70.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 127 / 299 42.5% 38.9% 549 / 1260 43.6% 38.9%
To the body 37 / 54 68.5% 71.7% 172 / 215 80.0% 71.7%
To the legs 44 / 51 86.3% 83.3% 113 / 120 94.2% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Roberson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Allen L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 100 / 344 29.1% 39.5% 718 / 1449 49.6% 39.5%
In the clinch 14 / 18 too few to rate 70.9% 48 / 66 72.7% 70.9%
On the ground 86 / 111 77.5% 69.0% 69 / 97 71.1% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 147 / 384 38.3% 37.9% 681 / 1410 48.3% 37.9%
To the body 32 / 53 60.4% 71.3% 112 / 151 74.2% 71.3%
To the legs 21 / 36 58.3% 82.1% 42 / 51 82.4% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

440.0% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
2242.3% acc · 1.48/15 · norm 1.42
1140.7% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2455.8% def · norm 63.1%
14:2617.4% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
66:1229.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
30:005:26 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
50:553:25 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.54/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
151.01/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Allen has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.