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Karl Roberson vs. Brendan Allen

UFC 4-6-0 vs. 16-4-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
4-6-0
UFC record
16-4-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
36
AgeΔ 6 yrs
30
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
74"
ReachΔ 1"
75"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
51.4
Layoff (months)Δ 51.1 mo
0.3
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Brendan Allen is a submission threat — 1.04 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Middleweight norm.
Brendan Allen owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 19% Middleweight norm.
Karl Roberson rarely shoots — 0.73 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.35 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Karl Roberson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 3 — regional circuit 41

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.58 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Brendan Allen

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 164
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 63
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 22 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 14-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2082.51/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
8853.60/min · norm 3.23
2002.42/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
9413.83/min · norm 3.20
51.5%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
52.0%norm 47.4%
57.7%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
47.8%norm 53.8%
10.18/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.18/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Karl Roberson

Distance 75.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.7% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 16.3% (norm 10.0%)

Brendan Allen

Distance 82.9% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 11.1% (norm 10.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Karl Roberson

Head 74.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 8.4%)

Brendan Allen

Head 79.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Roberson L/AAccMiddleweight med Allen L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 122 / 303 40.3% 40.5% 682 / 1411 48.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 33 / 35 94.3% 70.6% 68 / 102 66.7% 70.6%
On the ground 53 / 66 80.3% 69.4% 135 / 189 71.4% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 127 / 299 42.5% 38.8% 583 / 1345 43.3% 38.8%
To the body 37 / 54 68.5% 71.6% 184 / 231 79.7% 71.6%
To the legs 44 / 51 86.3% 83.3% 118 / 126 93.7% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Roberson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Allen L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 100 / 344 29.1% 39.5% 805 / 1614 49.9% 39.5%
In the clinch 14 / 18 too few to rate 70.4% 58 / 81 71.6% 70.4%
On the ground 86 / 111 77.5% 69.0% 78 / 106 73.6% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 147 / 384 38.3% 37.9% 746 / 1547 48.2% 37.9%
To the body 32 / 53 60.4% 71.3% 132 / 175 75.4% 71.3%
To the legs 21 / 36 58.3% 82.1% 63 / 79 79.7% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
440.0% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
2641.3% acc · 1.59/15 · norm 1.35
1140.7% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
2455.8% def · norm 63.3%
14:2617.4% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
74:5130.5% of cage time · norm 19.4%
30:005:26 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
54:463:20 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.54/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
171.04/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Allen has more cage time on record.