BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kalib Starnes vs.
Alan Belcher

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-3-0 Kalib Starnes · UFC
9-6-0 Alan Belcher · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-3-0
UFC record
9-6-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
51.6
AgeΔ 9.3 yrs
42.3
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
74"
ReachΔ 1"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
219.5
Layoff (months)Δ 60.2 mo
159.3
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alan Belcher is a submission threat — 0.87 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Alan Belcher rarely shoots — 0.44 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Kalib Starnes's takedown defense leaks — 25% stopped, vs a 63% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kalib Starnes

Full career not yet synced for Kalib Starnes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Alan Belcher

Full career not yet synced for Alan Belcher — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1392.71/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
3722.70/min · norm 3.25
2274.43/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
4273.10/min · norm 3.20
48.6%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
41.8%norm 47.4%
53.1%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
59.6%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.33/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kalib Starnes

Distance 67.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 17.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.7% (norm 10.3%)

Alan Belcher

Distance 79.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 9.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kalib Starnes

Head 71.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 20.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.4% (norm 8.4%)

Alan Belcher

Head 75.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 13.8% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Starnes L/AAccMiddleweight med Belcher L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 69 / 192 35.9% 40.5% 252 / 705 35.7% 40.5%
In the clinch 43 / 49 87.8% 70.3% 58 / 82 70.7% 70.3%
On the ground 27 / 45 60.0% 69.1% 62 / 102 60.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 76 / 204 37.3% 38.9% 211 / 672 31.4% 38.9%
To the body 42 / 58 72.4% 71.7% 61 / 94 64.9% 71.7%
To the legs 21 / 24 too few to rate 83.3% 100 / 123 81.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Starnes L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Belcher L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 147 / 354 41.5% 39.5% 306 / 870 35.2% 39.5%
In the clinch 64 / 106 60.4% 70.9% 69 / 104 66.3% 70.9%
On the ground 16 / 24 too few to rate 69.0% 52 / 84 61.9% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 120 / 352 34.1% 37.9% 328 / 921 35.6% 37.9%
To the body 43 / 61 70.5% 71.3% 49 / 76 64.5% 71.3%
To the legs 64 / 71 90.1% 82.1% 50 / 61 82.0% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

533.3% acc · 1.46/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
426.7% acc · 0.44/15 · norm 1.42
125.0% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2755.1% def · norm 63.1%
9:5919.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
26:2019.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
6:171:50 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
38:134:09 per 15 · norm 3:00
20.59/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
80.87/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Belcher has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.