Kailin Curran vs.
Felice Herrig
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Kailin Curran
Full career not yet synced for Kailin Curran — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500
Felice Herrig
Full career not yet synced for Felice Herrig — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Kailin Curran
Distance 74.5% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 17.7% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 7.8% (norm 5.0%)
Felice Herrig
Distance 85.7% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 5.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Kailin Curran
Head 79.0% (norm 76.4%) · Body 14.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 9.1%)
Felice Herrig
Head 77.2% (norm 76.4%) · Body 16.4% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 9.1%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Curran L/A | Acc | Women's Strawweight med | Herrig L/A | Acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 204 / 544 | 37.5% | 38.3% | 304 / 969 | 31.4% | 38.3% |
| In the clinch | 78 / 129 | 60.5% | 72.6% | 85 / 114 | 74.6% | 72.6% |
| On the ground | 38 / 57 | 66.7% | 75.0% | 36 / 48 | 75.0% | 75.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 201 / 577 | 34.8% | 35.4% | 259 / 873 | 29.7% | 35.4% |
| To the body | 82 / 109 | 75.2% | 69.3% | 123 / 186 | 66.1% | 69.3% |
| To the legs | 37 / 44 | 84.1% | 77.9% | 43 / 72 | 59.7% | 77.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Curran L/A | Opp acc | Women's Strawweight med | vs Herrig L/A | Opp acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 242 / 609 | 39.7% | 39.7% | 363 / 853 | 42.6% | 39.7% |
| In the clinch | 97 / 155 | 62.6% | 71.5% | 125 / 148 | 84.5% | 71.5% |
| On the ground | 52 / 76 | 68.4% | 74.4% | 87 / 107 | 81.3% | 74.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 272 / 665 | 40.9% | 36.0% | 378 / 868 | 43.5% | 36.0% |
| To the body | 74 / 109 | 67.9% | 68.4% | 120 / 150 | 80.0% | 68.4% |
| To the legs | 45 / 66 | 68.2% | 79.1% | 77 / 90 | 85.6% | 79.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Herrig has more cage time on record.