BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kai Kara-France vs.
Raulian Paiva

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-5-0 Kai Kara-France · UFC
3-4-0 Raulian Paiva · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-5-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
33.4
AgeΔ 2.6 yrs
30.8
5'4"
HeightΔ 4"
5'8"
69"
ReachΔ 0"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
13.3
Layoff (months)Δ 36.1 mo
49.4
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Kai Kara-France carries real power — 0.75 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Kai Kara-France rarely shoots — 0.56 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Raulian Paiva rarely shoots — 0.58 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kai Kara-France

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 86
Tier 3 — regional circuit 176

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.65 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Raulian Paiva

Full career not yet synced for Raulian Paiva — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7124.46/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
3013.89/min · norm 3.49
5173.24/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
3584.63/min · norm 3.24
40.2%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
40.0%norm 44.6%
64.3%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
52.1%norm 56.4%
80.75/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.19/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kai Kara-France

Distance 90.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 1.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 7.3%)

Raulian Paiva

Distance 94.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kai Kara-France

Head 79.8% (norm 75.9%) · Body 9.6% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 9.3%)

Raulian Paiva

Head 75.9% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.6% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kara-France L/AAccFlyweight med Paiva L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 612 / 1602 38.2% 40.0% 274 / 709 38.6% 40.0%
In the clinch 16 / 25 64.0% 70.4% 18 / 26 69.2% 70.4%
On the ground 84 / 142 59.2% 69.7% 9 / 17 too few to rate 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 455 / 1411 32.2% 37.6% 176 / 571 30.8% 37.6%
To the body 104 / 170 61.2% 68.5% 80 / 125 64.0% 68.5%
To the legs 153 / 188 81.4% 80.0% 45 / 56 80.4% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kara-France L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Paiva L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 480 / 1380 34.8% 40.1% 316 / 691 45.7% 40.1%
In the clinch 14 / 32 43.8% 68.8% 13 / 19 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 23 / 35 65.7% 71.1% 29 / 37 78.4% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 383 / 1255 30.5% 35.2% 225 / 577 39.0% 35.2%
To the body 86 / 131 65.6% 68.2% 72 / 102 70.6% 68.2%
To the legs 48 / 61 78.7% 80.3% 61 / 68 89.7% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

630.0% acc · 0.56/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
318.8% acc · 0.58/15 · norm 1.30
4783.9% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
3574.5% def · norm 62.5%
13:478.6% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
7:5410.2% of cage time · norm 17.0%
28:312:40 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
9:501:54 per 15 · norm 2:44
00.00/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
10.19/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kara-France has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.