BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Kai Kara-France vs.
Brandon Royval

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-5-0 Kai Kara-France · UFC
8-5-0 Brandon Royval · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-5-0
UFC record
8-5-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
33.4
AgeΔ 0.6 yrs
34
5'4"
HeightΔ 5"
5'9"
69"
ReachΔ 1"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
13.3
Layoff (months)Δ 12.4 mo
0.9
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Kai Kara-France carries real power — 0.75 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Brandon Royval is a submission threat — 1.18 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Brandon Royval carries real power — 0.30 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Kai Kara-France

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 86
Tier 3 — regional circuit 176

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.65 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 38 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Brandon Royval

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 62
Tier 3 — regional circuit 42

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.1 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7124.46/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
8525.60/min · norm 3.49
5173.24/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
6454.24/min · norm 3.24
40.2%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
42.6%norm 44.6%
64.3%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
42.8%norm 56.4%
80.75/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
30.30/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Kai Kara-France

Distance 90.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 1.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 7.3%)

Brandon Royval

Distance 91.5% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 3.1% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 5.4% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Kai Kara-France

Head 79.8% (norm 75.9%) · Body 9.6% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 9.3%)

Brandon Royval

Head 87.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 8.6% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kara-France L/AAccFlyweight med Royval L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 612 / 1602 38.2% 40.0% 729 / 1830 39.8% 40.0%
In the clinch 16 / 25 64.0% 70.4% 47 / 62 75.8% 70.4%
On the ground 84 / 142 59.2% 69.7% 76 / 109 69.7% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 455 / 1411 32.2% 37.6% 673 / 1746 38.5% 37.6%
To the body 104 / 170 61.2% 68.5% 123 / 173 71.1% 68.5%
To the legs 153 / 188 81.4% 80.0% 56 / 82 68.3% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kara-France L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Royval L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 480 / 1380 34.8% 40.1% 549 / 976 56.2% 40.1%
In the clinch 14 / 32 43.8% 68.8% 47 / 74 63.5% 68.8%
On the ground 23 / 35 65.7% 71.1% 49 / 78 62.8% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 383 / 1255 30.5% 35.2% 379 / 813 46.6% 35.2%
To the body 86 / 131 65.6% 68.2% 138 / 173 79.8% 68.2%
To the legs 48 / 61 78.7% 80.3% 128 / 142 90.1% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

630.0% acc · 0.56/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
964.3% acc · 0.89/15 · norm 1.30
4783.9% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
2945.3% def · norm 62.5%
13:478.6% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
14:249.5% of cage time · norm 17.0%
28:312:40 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
53:195:15 per 15 · norm 2:44
00.00/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
121.18/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Kara-France has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.