BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Justine Kish vs.
Felice Herrig

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Justine Kish · UFC
5-5-0 Felice Herrig · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
5-5-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
38.3
AgeΔ 3.6 yrs
41.9
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'4"
64"
ReachΔ 1"
65"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
63.6
Layoff (months)Δ 13.5 mo
50.1
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Felice Herrig is a submission threat — 0.81 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Justine Kish carries real power — 0.14 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.09 Women's Flyweight norm.
Felice Herrig absorbs 5.19 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.94 Women's Strawweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Justine Kish

Full career not yet synced for Justine Kish — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Felice Herrig

Full career not yet synced for Felice Herrig — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4694.51/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
4253.84/min · norm 3.77
4774.59/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
5755.19/min · norm 3.94
48.1%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
37.6%norm 44.5%
57.7%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
48.1%norm 54.4%
10.14/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Justine Kish

Distance 89.3% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 7.8% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 4.9%)

Felice Herrig

Distance 85.7% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Justine Kish

Head 62.7% (norm 78.1%) · Body 17.2% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 20.1% (norm 7.7%)

Felice Herrig

Head 77.2% (norm 76.4%) · Body 16.4% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 6.4% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Kish L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Herrig L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 399 / 871 45.8% 39.9% 304 / 969 31.4% 38.3%
In the clinch 53 / 76 69.7% 73.3% 85 / 114 74.6% 72.6%
On the ground 17 / 28 60.7% 74.7% 36 / 48 75.0% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 205 / 611 33.6% 34.9% 259 / 873 29.7% 35.4%
To the body 108 / 168 64.3% 69.5% 123 / 186 66.1% 69.3%
To the legs 156 / 196 79.6% 82.6% 43 / 72 59.7% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Kish L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Herrig L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 388 / 995 39.0% 38.8% 363 / 853 42.6% 39.7%
In the clinch 41 / 62 66.1% 74.1% 125 / 148 84.5% 71.5%
On the ground 48 / 71 67.6% 73.4% 87 / 107 81.3% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 288 / 855 33.7% 35.3% 378 / 868 43.5% 36.0%
To the body 96 / 155 61.9% 69.0% 120 / 150 80.0% 68.4%
To the legs 93 / 118 78.8% 78.7% 77 / 90 85.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

633.3% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
828.6% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 1.10
750.0% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1575.0% def · norm 64.1%
11:4511.3% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
27:5825.2% of cage time · norm 19.4%
20:553:01 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
24:063:15 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.14/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
60.81/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Herrig has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.