Justin Wren vs. Jon Madsen
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Justin Wren
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 3 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 10 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.25 · 3 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 15 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
Jon Madsen
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 4 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 4 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.24 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 4 finish wins over 10 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.4 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Justin Wren
Distance 92.5% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 9.3%)
Jon Madsen
Distance 76.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 11.7% (norm 9.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Justin Wren
Head 87.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 1.9% (norm 7.6%)
Jon Madsen
Head 85.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 6.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 7.6%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Wren L/A | Acc | Heavyweight med | Madsen L/A | Acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 12 / 147 | 8.2% | 40.1% | 80 / 260 | 30.8% | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 5 / 12 | too few to rate | 70.6% | 34 / 41 | 82.9% | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 70.2% | 26 / 40 | 65.0% | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 5 / 139 | 3.6% | 38.9% | 100 / 293 | 34.1% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 9 / 17 | too few to rate | 76.8% | 18 / 23 | too few to rate | 76.8% |
| To the legs | 3 / 3 | too few to rate | 87.8% | 22 / 25 | 88.0% | 87.8% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Wren L/A | Opp acc | Heavyweight med | vs Madsen L/A | Opp acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 23 / 95 | 24.2% | 40.7% | 47 / 328 | 14.3% | 40.7% |
| In the clinch | 3 / 5 | too few to rate | 70.6% | 20 / 32 | 62.5% | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 72.0% | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 72.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 20 / 93 | 21.5% | 38.8% | 30 / 309 | 9.7% | 38.8% |
| To the body | 6 / 7 | too few to rate | 75.1% | 23 / 37 | 62.2% | 75.1% |
| To the legs | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 84.4% | 14 / 14 | too few to rate | 84.4% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Madsen has more cage time on record.