BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Justin Scoggins vs.
Ray Borg

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-5-0 Justin Scoggins · UFC
7-5-0 Ray Borg · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-5-0
UFC record
7-5-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
34.3
AgeΔ 1.3 yrs
33
5'7"
HeightΔ 3"
5'4"
66"
ReachΔ 3"
63"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
96.7
Layoff (months)Δ 21.9 mo
74.8
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ray Borg hunts takedowns — 3.89 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Ray Borg owns the mat — in control 45% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Justin Scoggins hunts takedowns — 3.42 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Justin Scoggins

Full career not yet synced for Justin Scoggins — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Ray Borg

Full career not yet synced for Ray Borg — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3593.56/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
2631.52/min · norm 3.49
2182.16/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
3341.93/min · norm 3.24
51.7%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
52.2%norm 44.6%
55.7%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
48.3%norm 56.4%
10.15/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Justin Scoggins

Distance 75.9% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 6.6% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 17.4% (norm 7.3%)

Ray Borg

Distance 53.4% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 17.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 29.2% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Justin Scoggins

Head 74.4% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.3% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 8.4% (norm 9.3%)

Ray Borg

Head 79.8% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 2.6% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Scoggins L/AAccFlyweight med Borg L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 222 / 527 42.1% 40.0% 90 / 269 33.5% 40.0%
In the clinch 38 / 46 82.6% 70.4% 61 / 88 69.3% 70.4%
On the ground 99 / 121 81.8% 69.7% 112 / 147 76.2% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 236 / 516 45.7% 37.6% 188 / 402 46.8% 37.6%
To the body 74 / 120 61.7% 68.5% 67 / 89 75.3% 68.5%
To the legs 49 / 58 84.5% 80.0% 8 / 13 too few to rate 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Scoggins L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Borg L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 144 / 390 36.9% 40.1% 164 / 446 36.8% 40.1%
In the clinch 42 / 57 73.7% 68.8% 86 / 108 79.6% 68.8%
On the ground 32 / 45 71.1% 71.1% 84 / 92 91.3% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 119 / 338 35.2% 35.2% 167 / 438 38.1% 35.2%
To the body 58 / 89 65.2% 68.2% 125 / 158 79.1% 68.2%
To the legs 41 / 65 63.1% 80.3% 42 / 50 84.0% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2363.9% acc · 3.42/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
4550.0% acc · 3.89/15 · norm 1.30
3382.5% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
2146.7% def · norm 62.5%
36:3436.3% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
78:4045.3% of cage time · norm 17.0%
13:081:57 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
53:234:36 per 15 · norm 2:44
30.45/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
121.04/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Borg has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.