BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Justin Salas vs.
Tim Means

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Justin Salas · UFC
15-14-0 (1 NC) Tim Means · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
15-14-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
44.4
AgeΔ 1.9 yrs
42.5
5'8"
HeightΔ 6"
6'2"
70"
ReachΔ 5"
75"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
125
Layoff (months)Δ 103 mo
22
LLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Justin Salas's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Justin Salas hunts takedowns — 2.43 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Tim Means outworks the Welterweight division — 5.04 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Justin Salas

Full career not yet synced for Justin Salas — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Tim Means

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1514
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 163

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.85 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 25 finish wins over 52 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1693.42/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
14575.04/min · norm 3.17
1462.96/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
10553.65/min · norm 3.06
43.2%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
49.1%norm 44.9%
68.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
60.2%norm 55.25%
10.30/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
110.57/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Justin Salas

Distance 81.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 11.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.6% (norm 8.0%)

Tim Means

Distance 84.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.8% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Justin Salas

Head 74.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.6% (norm 7.9%)

Tim Means

Head 74.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.0% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Salas L/AAccLightweight med Means L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 113 / 319 35.4% 37.9% 1116 / 2495 44.7% 38.6%
In the clinch 35 / 46 76.1% 67.3% 202 / 270 74.8% 67.8%
On the ground 21 / 26 80.8% 69.1% 139 / 203 68.5% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 97 / 290 33.4% 35.0% 885 / 2197 40.3% 37.2%
To the body 34 / 48 70.8% 69.1% 409 / 594 68.9% 70.7%
To the legs 38 / 53 71.7% 81.9% 163 / 177 92.1% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Salas L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Means L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 86 / 382 22.5% 38.9% 899 / 2384 37.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 25 / 35 71.4% 68.6% 102 / 162 63.0% 68.9%
On the ground 35 / 53 66.0% 68.0% 54 / 107 50.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 97 / 375 25.9% 35.1% 733 / 2171 33.8% 35.6%
To the body 35 / 72 48.6% 68.1% 191 / 323 59.1% 69.6%
To the legs 14 / 23 too few to rate 81.5% 131 / 159 82.4% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

820.5% acc · 2.43/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2240.0% acc · 1.14/15 · norm 1.27
00.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
6864.8% def · norm 63.9%
7:0014.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
41:1114.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
4:061:14 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
44:322:18 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
30.16/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Means has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.