BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Justin McCully vs.
Antoni Hardonk

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-2-0 Justin McCully · UFC
4-4-0 Antoni Hardonk · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-2-0
UFC record
4-4-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
50.5
AgeΔ 0 yrs
50.5
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
6'4"
73"
ReachΔ 5"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
203.2
Layoff (months)Δ 1.8 mo
201.4
LWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Antoni Hardonk is a submission threat — 0.88 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Antoni Hardonk carries real power — 0.88 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Justin McCully owns the mat — in control 44% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Justin McCully

Full career not yet synced for Justin McCully — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Antoni Hardonk

Full career not yet synced for Antoni Hardonk — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

741.58/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
1743.40/min · norm 3.36
952.02/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
1573.07/min · norm 3.19
37.9%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
61.5%norm 47.8%
46.9%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
47.0%norm 52.5%
10.32/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
30.88/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Justin McCully

Distance 61.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 19.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 19.5% (norm 9.3%)

Antoni Hardonk

Distance 58.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 32.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 9.5% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Justin McCully

Head 83.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 3.6% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 7.6%)

Antoni Hardonk

Head 64.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 16.3% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 19.8% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone McCully L/AAccHeavyweight med Hardonk L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 33 / 119 27.7% 40.1% 81 / 164 49.4% 40.1%
In the clinch 23 / 38 60.5% 70.6% 68 / 92 73.9% 70.6%
On the ground 18 / 38 47.4% 70.2% 25 / 27 92.6% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 57 / 163 35.0% 38.9% 90 / 181 49.7% 38.9%
To the body 4 / 7 too few to rate 76.8% 37 / 46 80.4% 76.8%
To the legs 13 / 25 52.0% 87.8% 47 / 56 83.9% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs McCully L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Hardonk L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 26 / 79 32.9% 40.7% 66 / 156 42.3% 40.7%
In the clinch 45 / 64 70.3% 70.6% 36 / 48 75.0% 70.6%
On the ground 24 / 36 66.7% 72.0% 55 / 92 59.8% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 56 / 137 40.9% 38.8% 112 / 242 46.3% 38.8%
To the body 31 / 34 91.2% 75.1% 18 / 22 too few to rate 75.1%
To the legs 8 / 8 too few to rate 84.4% 27 / 32 84.4% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

444.4% acc · 1.28/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
743.8% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
840.0% def · norm 64.3%
20:3343.8% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
2:244.7% of cage time · norm 17.2%
14:554:45 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
32:139:26 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
30.88/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hardonk has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.