BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Justin Ledet vs.
Aleksandar Rakic

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-4-0 Justin Ledet · UFC
7-5-0 Aleksandar Rakic · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-4-0
UFC record
7-5-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
37.9
AgeΔ 3.4 yrs
34.5
6'4"
HeightΔ 0"
6'4"
80"
ReachΔ 2"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
69.2
Layoff (months)Δ 69 mo
0.2
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Aleksandar Rakic owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Justin Ledet rarely shoots — 0.23 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Justin Ledet absorbs 4.82 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.35 Light Heavyweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Justin Ledet

Full career not yet synced for Justin Ledet — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Aleksandar Rakic

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 75
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2183.35/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
5564.20/min · norm 3.41
3144.82/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
3692.78/min · norm 3.35
39.0%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
50.5%norm 48.3%
49.0%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
54.8%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
40.45/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Justin Ledet

Distance 97.5% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 2.3% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 0.2% (norm 10.4%)

Aleksandar Rakic

Distance 80.5% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 13.6% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Justin Ledet

Head 96.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 3.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 0.7% (norm 9.7%)

Aleksandar Rakic

Head 67.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 12.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 20.1% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ledet L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Rakic L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 208 / 545 38.2% 41.4% 389 / 886 43.9% 41.4%
In the clinch 9 / 13 too few to rate 70.9% 52 / 64 81.2% 70.9%
On the ground 1 / 1 too few to rate 72.3% 115 / 150 76.7% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 203 / 537 37.8% 38.9% 282 / 745 37.9% 38.9%
To the body 13 / 18 too few to rate 71.9% 103 / 134 76.9% 71.9%
To the legs 2 / 4 too few to rate 81.8% 171 / 221 77.4% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ledet L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Rakic L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 206 / 473 43.6% 40.4% 284 / 704 40.3% 40.4%
In the clinch 21 / 32 65.6% 68.7% 56 / 73 76.7% 68.7%
On the ground 87 / 111 78.4% 70.4% 29 / 40 72.5% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 200 / 441 45.4% 37.5% 188 / 557 33.8% 37.5%
To the body 47 / 83 56.6% 72.3% 83 / 145 57.2% 72.3%
To the legs 67 / 92 72.8% 83.0% 98 / 115 85.2% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

150.0% acc · 0.23/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
521.7% acc · 0.57/15 · norm 0.87
342.9% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2087.0% def · norm 66.7%
2:303.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
40:2730.5% of cage time · norm 16.5%
12:482:56 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
5:450:39 per 15 · norm 2:48
10.23/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
10.11/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rakic has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.