Justin Lawrence vs.
John Cofer
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Justin Lawrence
Full career not yet synced for Justin Lawrence — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
John Cofer
Full career not yet synced for John Cofer — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Justin Lawrence
Distance 93.9% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 2.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 6.5%)
John Cofer
Distance 85.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 11.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.5% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Justin Lawrence
Head 85.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 7.8%)
John Cofer
Head 76.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.2% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Lawrence L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Cofer L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 78 / 232 | 33.6% | 40.9% | 51 / 137 | 37.2% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 5 / 7 | too few to rate | 70.8% | 12 / 19 | too few to rate | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 3 / 8 | too few to rate | 69.2% | 4 / 4 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 70 / 210 | 33.3% | 37.2% | 39 / 123 | 31.7% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 11 / 29 | 37.9% | 68.2% | 20 / 27 | 74.1% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 5 / 8 | too few to rate | 80.7% | 8 / 10 | too few to rate | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Lawrence L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Cofer L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 54 / 202 | 26.7% | 39.2% | 65 / 192 | 33.9% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 6 / 9 | too few to rate | 70.3% | 15 / 20 | too few to rate | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 6 / 16 | too few to rate | 69.4% | 4 / 10 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 38 / 188 | 20.2% | 35.9% | 59 / 188 | 31.4% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 20 / 30 | 66.7% | 67.9% | 13 / 19 | too few to rate | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 8 / 9 | too few to rate | 81.5% | 12 / 15 | too few to rate | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lawrence has more cage time on record.