Justin Lawrence vs.
Daniel Pineda
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Justin Lawrence
Full career not yet synced for Justin Lawrence — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
Daniel Pineda
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 12 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 8 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 14 | 4 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.71 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 28 finish wins over 47 documented bouts
In the UFC: 2-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Justin Lawrence
Distance 93.9% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 2.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 6.5%)
Daniel Pineda
Distance 73.5% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 22.3% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Justin Lawrence
Head 85.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 7.8%)
Daniel Pineda
Head 78.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.9% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 7.8%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Lawrence L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Pineda L/A | Acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 78 / 232 | 33.6% | 40.9% | 213 / 535 | 39.8% | 40.9% |
| In the clinch | 5 / 7 | too few to rate | 70.8% | 23 / 31 | 74.2% | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 3 / 8 | too few to rate | 69.2% | 125 / 162 | 77.2% | 69.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 70 / 210 | 33.3% | 37.2% | 242 / 571 | 42.4% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 11 / 29 | 37.9% | 68.2% | 54 / 79 | 68.4% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 5 / 8 | too few to rate | 80.7% | 65 / 78 | 83.3% | 80.7% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Lawrence L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Pineda L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 54 / 202 | 26.7% | 39.2% | 307 / 605 | 50.7% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 6 / 9 | too few to rate | 70.3% | 51 / 69 | 73.9% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 6 / 16 | too few to rate | 69.4% | 54 / 86 | 62.8% | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 38 / 188 | 20.2% | 35.9% | 267 / 577 | 46.3% | 35.9% |
| To the body | 20 / 30 | 66.7% | 67.9% | 104 / 132 | 78.8% | 67.9% |
| To the legs | 8 / 9 | too few to rate | 81.5% | 41 / 51 | 80.4% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Pineda has more cage time on record.