Justin Jaynes vs.
Devonte Smith
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Justin Jaynes
Full career not yet synced for Justin Jaynes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
Devonte Smith
Full career not yet synced for Devonte Smith — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Justin Jaynes
Distance 91.4% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 5.6% (norm 6.5%)
Devonte Smith
Distance 80.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 12.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Justin Jaynes
Head 84.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.2% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 2.0% (norm 7.8%)
Devonte Smith
Head 73.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.1% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Jaynes L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Smith L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 115 / 276 | 41.7% | 40.9% | 117 / 255 | 45.9% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 8 / 9 | too few to rate | 70.8% | 30 / 38 | 78.9% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 11 / 17 | too few to rate | 69.2% | 16 / 23 | too few to rate | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 98 / 256 | 38.3% | 37.2% | 94 / 231 | 40.7% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 31 / 40 | 77.5% | 68.2% | 37 / 50 | 74.0% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 5 / 6 | too few to rate | 80.7% | 32 / 35 | 91.4% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Jaynes L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Smith L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 192 / 539 | 35.6% | 39.2% | 109 / 235 | 46.4% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 6 / 11 | too few to rate | 70.3% | 33 / 45 | 73.3% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 16 / 27 | 59.3% | 69.4% | 10 / 17 | too few to rate | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 143 / 484 | 29.5% | 35.9% | 63 / 180 | 35.0% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 46 / 65 | 70.8% | 67.9% | 53 / 71 | 74.6% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 25 / 28 | 89.3% | 81.5% | 36 / 46 | 78.3% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Smith has more cage time on record.