BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Justin Frazier vs.
Juan Espino

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-1-0 Justin Frazier · UFC
2-1-0 Juan Espino · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-1-0
UFC record
2-1-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
37.1
AgeΔ 8.7 yrs
45.8
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
6'3"
75"
ReachΔ 5"
80"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
92.2
Layoff (months)Δ 28.6 mo
63.6
L
Last 5 (newest first)
LWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Juan Espino is a submission threat — 2.43 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Juan Espino hunts takedowns — 8.93 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Justin Frazier's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 64% Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Justin Frazier

Full career not yet synced for Justin Frazier — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Juan Espino

Full career not yet synced for Juan Espino — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

41.11/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
442.38/min · norm 3.36
226.11/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
361.95/min · norm 3.19
66.7%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
71.0%norm 47.8%
4.3%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
40.0%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Justin Frazier

Distance 16.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 83.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 9.3%)

Juan Espino

Distance 38.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 14.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 46.8% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Justin Frazier

Head 33.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 66.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.6%)

Juan Espino

Head 82.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 8.1% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Frazier L/AAccHeavyweight med Espino L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 0 / 1 too few to rate 40.1% 9 / 24 too few to rate 40.1%
In the clinch 4 / 5 too few to rate 70.6% 9 / 9 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.2% 26 / 29 89.7% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 0 / 2 too few to rate 38.9% 36 / 51 70.6% 38.9%
To the body 4 / 4 too few to rate 76.8% 6 / 6 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 87.8% 2 / 5 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Frazier L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Espino L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 0 / 0 too few to rate 40.7% 8 / 22 too few to rate 40.7%
In the clinch 5 / 5 too few to rate 70.6% 10 / 11 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 17 / 18 too few to rate 72.0% 18 / 27 66.7% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 19 / 20 too few to rate 38.8% 23 / 46 50.0% 38.8%
To the body 3 / 3 too few to rate 75.1% 8 / 8 too few to rate 75.1%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 84.4% 5 / 6 too few to rate 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
1178.6% acc · 8.93/15 · norm 0.95
00.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
250.0% def · norm 64.3%
0:000.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
8:5147.9% of cage time · norm 17.2%
3:2013:53 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
5:414:36 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
32.43/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Espino has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.