BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Justin Buchholz vs.
Matt Wiman

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-4-0 Justin Buchholz · UFC
10-8-0 Matt Wiman · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-4-0
UFC record
10-8-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
43
AgeΔ 0.1 yrs
42.9
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
73"
ReachΔ 5"
68"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
197.9
Layoff (months)Δ 129.9 mo
68
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Matt Wiman is a submission threat — 1.54 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Justin Buchholz rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Matt Wiman owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Justin Buchholz

Full career not yet synced for Justin Buchholz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Matt Wiman

Full career not yet synced for Matt Wiman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

892.35/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
5573.17/min · norm 3.42
1574.14/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
6273.57/min · norm 3.37
26.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
50.1%norm 43.5%
51.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
51.1%norm 56.3%
10.40/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.09/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Justin Buchholz

Distance 76.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 14.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.0% (norm 8.0%)

Matt Wiman

Distance 55.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 18.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 26.3% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Justin Buchholz

Head 85.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.8% (norm 7.9%)

Matt Wiman

Head 80.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Buchholz L/AAccLightweight med Wiman L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 56 / 256 21.9% 37.9% 247 / 612 40.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 23 / 49 46.9% 67.3% 139 / 207 67.1% 67.3%
On the ground 10 / 30 33.3% 69.1% 171 / 293 58.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 63 / 285 22.1% 35.0% 386 / 891 43.3% 35.0%
To the body 14 / 24 too few to rate 69.1% 69 / 94 73.4% 69.1%
To the legs 12 / 26 46.2% 81.9% 102 / 127 80.3% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Buchholz L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Wiman L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 96 / 220 43.6% 38.9% 263 / 717 36.7% 38.9%
In the clinch 36 / 57 63.2% 68.6% 193 / 292 66.1% 68.6%
On the ground 25 / 46 54.3% 68.0% 171 / 273 62.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 112 / 266 42.1% 35.1% 457 / 1067 42.8% 35.1%
To the body 20 / 30 66.7% 68.1% 123 / 152 80.9% 68.1%
To the legs 25 / 27 92.6% 81.5% 47 / 63 74.6% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2537.9% acc · 2.13/15 · norm 1.38
333.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2356.1% def · norm 64.0%
4:3111.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
60:2434.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
12:084:48 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
59:535:06 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.79/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
181.54/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Wiman has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.