BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Justin Buchholz vs.
Corey Hill

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-4-0 Justin Buchholz · UFC
1-2-0 Corey Hill · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-4-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
43
AgeΔ 4.8 yrs
47.8
6'0"
HeightΔ 4"
6'4"
73"
ReachΔ 7"
80"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
197.9
Layoff (months)Δ 13.9 mo
211.8
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Corey Hill hunts takedowns — 3.02 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Corey Hill owns the mat — in control 42% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Justin Buchholz rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Justin Buchholz

Full career not yet synced for Justin Buchholz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Corey Hill

Full career not yet synced for Corey Hill — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

892.35/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
713.57/min · norm 3.42
1574.14/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
321.61/min · norm 3.37
26.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
46.4%norm 43.5%
51.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
70.4%norm 56.3%
10.40/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Justin Buchholz

Distance 76.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 14.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.0% (norm 8.0%)

Corey Hill

Distance 63.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 15.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 21.6% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Justin Buchholz

Head 85.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.8% (norm 7.9%)

Corey Hill

Head 81.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Buchholz L/AAccLightweight med Hill L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 56 / 256 21.9% 37.9% 33 / 97 34.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 23 / 49 46.9% 67.3% 16 / 23 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 10 / 30 33.3% 69.1% 22 / 33 66.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 63 / 285 22.1% 35.0% 50 / 125 40.0% 35.0%
To the body 14 / 24 too few to rate 69.1% 18 / 21 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 12 / 26 46.2% 81.9% 3 / 7 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Buchholz L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Hill L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 96 / 220 43.6% 38.9% 23 / 88 26.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 36 / 57 63.2% 68.6% 9 / 20 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 25 / 46 54.3% 68.0% 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 112 / 266 42.1% 35.1% 13 / 71 18.3% 35.1%
To the body 20 / 30 66.7% 68.1% 9 / 14 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 25 / 27 92.6% 81.5% 10 / 23 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
480.0% acc · 3.02/15 · norm 1.38
333.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
10100.0% def · norm 64.0%
4:3111.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
8:1941.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
12:084:48 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
0:370:27 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.79/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Buchholz has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.