BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Junior Tafa vs.
Tuco Tokkos

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-6-0 Junior Tafa · UFC
1-3-0 Tuco Tokkos · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-6-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
29.9
AgeΔ 6.2 yrs
36.1
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'4"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
Layoff (months)Δ 0.7 mo
2.7
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Tuco Tokkos hunts takedowns — 2.78 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Tuco Tokkos is a submission threat — 0.70 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Junior Tafa rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Junior Tafa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 46
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Tuco Tokkos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 15
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.56 · 1 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2003.53/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
1002.32/min · norm 3.41
1532.70/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
1393.22/min · norm 3.35
52.1%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
41.8%norm 48.3%
52.5%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
46.7%norm 52.9%
20.53/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Junior Tafa

Distance 83.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.9% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 6.8% (norm 9.3%)

Tuco Tokkos

Distance 89.1% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.4% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 5.4% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Junior Tafa

Head 87.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 1.3% (norm 7.6%)

Tuco Tokkos

Head 78.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.6% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 11.7% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tafa L/AAccHeavyweight med Tokkos L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 154 / 320 48.1% 40.1% 87 / 213 40.8% 41.4%
In the clinch 26 / 38 68.4% 70.6% 6 / 13 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 20 / 26 76.9% 70.2% 7 / 13 too few to rate 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 160 / 335 47.8% 38.9% 66 / 188 35.1% 38.9%
To the body 35 / 44 79.5% 76.8% 13 / 23 too few to rate 71.9%
To the legs 5 / 5 too few to rate 87.8% 21 / 28 75.0% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tafa L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Tokkos L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 116 / 244 47.5% 40.7% 104 / 210 49.5% 40.4%
In the clinch 5 / 9 too few to rate 70.6% 22 / 29 75.9% 68.7%
On the ground 32 / 69 46.4% 72.0% 13 / 22 too few to rate 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 98 / 257 38.1% 38.8% 89 / 195 45.6% 37.5%
To the body 16 / 23 too few to rate 75.1% 42 / 55 76.4% 72.3%
To the legs 39 / 42 92.9% 84.4% 8 / 11 too few to rate 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
833.3% acc · 2.78/15 · norm 0.87
3272.7% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
233.3% def · norm 66.7%
0:491.4% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
12:3629.2% of cage time · norm 16.5%
30:148:00 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
13:224:38 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
20.70/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tafa has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.