BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Junior Tafa vs.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-6-0 Junior Tafa · UFC
11-7-0 Marcos Rogerio de Lima · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-6-0
UFC record
11-7-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
29.9
AgeΔ 11.2 yrs
41.1
6'3"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
75"
ReachΔ 0"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
Layoff (months)Δ 27.6 mo
29.6
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Marcos Rogerio de Lima carries real power — 1.02 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima is a submission threat — 0.58 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Junior Tafa rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Junior Tafa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 46
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.66 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 13 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 117
Tier 3 — regional circuit 123

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2003.53/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
3753.64/min · norm 3.36
1532.70/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
2522.45/min · norm 3.19
52.1%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
59.6%norm 47.8%
52.5%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
52.5%norm 52.5%
20.53/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
71.02/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Junior Tafa

Distance 83.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.9% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 6.8% (norm 9.3%)

Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Distance 73.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 18.9% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Junior Tafa

Head 87.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.5% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 1.3% (norm 7.6%)

Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Head 69.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.8% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 17.0% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tafa L/AAccHeavyweight med Lima L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 154 / 320 48.1% 40.1% 250 / 461 54.2% 40.1%
In the clinch 26 / 38 68.4% 70.6% 37 / 49 75.5% 70.6%
On the ground 20 / 26 76.9% 70.2% 88 / 119 73.9% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 160 / 335 47.8% 38.9% 219 / 435 50.3% 38.9%
To the body 35 / 44 79.5% 76.8% 65 / 87 74.7% 76.8%
To the legs 5 / 5 too few to rate 87.8% 91 / 107 85.0% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tafa L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Lima L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 116 / 244 47.5% 40.7% 192 / 443 43.3% 40.7%
In the clinch 5 / 9 too few to rate 70.6% 28 / 34 82.4% 70.6%
On the ground 32 / 69 46.4% 72.0% 32 / 53 60.4% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 98 / 257 38.1% 38.8% 186 / 442 42.1% 38.8%
To the body 16 / 23 too few to rate 75.1% 45 / 62 72.6% 75.1%
To the legs 39 / 42 92.9% 84.4% 21 / 26 80.8% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
1145.8% acc · 1.60/15 · norm 0.95
3272.7% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1266.7% def · norm 64.3%
0:491.4% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
45:4944.5% of cage time · norm 17.2%
30:148:00 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
17:242:32 per 15 · norm 2:28
00.00/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
40.58/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lima has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.