Julio Arce vs.
Herbert Burns
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Julio Arce
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 8 | 5 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 14 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.08 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 29 documented bouts
In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500
Herbert Burns
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 8 | 6 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 3 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.15 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 17 documented bouts
In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Julio Arce
Distance 95.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 0.7% (norm 6.5%)
Herbert Burns
Distance 83.2% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 7.6% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Julio Arce
Head 84.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.4% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 2.3% (norm 7.8%)
Herbert Burns
Head 73.6% (norm 77.4%) · Body 19.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.6% (norm 7.8%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Arce L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Burns L/A | Acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 460 / 1375 | 33.5% | 40.9% | 48 / 164 | 29.3% | 40.9% |
| In the clinch | 36 / 58 | 62.1% | 70.8% | 12 / 15 | too few to rate | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 7 / 10 | too few to rate | 69.2% | 11 / 18 | too few to rate | 69.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 361 / 1217 | 29.7% | 37.2% | 38 / 145 | 26.2% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 116 / 193 | 60.1% | 68.2% | 24 / 39 | 61.5% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 26 / 33 | 78.8% | 80.7% | 9 / 13 | too few to rate | 80.7% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Arce L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Burns L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 309 / 1072 | 28.8% | 39.2% | 94 / 196 | 48.0% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 41 / 67 | 61.2% | 70.3% | 14 / 18 | too few to rate | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 25 / 46 | 54.3% | 69.4% | 86 / 117 | 73.5% | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 180 / 876 | 20.5% | 35.9% | 139 / 266 | 52.3% | 35.9% |
| To the body | 102 / 179 | 57.0% | 67.9% | 36 / 43 | 83.7% | 67.9% |
| To the legs | 93 / 130 | 71.5% | 81.5% | 19 / 22 | too few to rate | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Arce has more cage time on record.