BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Julio Arce vs.
Daniel Santos

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-4-0 Julio Arce · UFC
4-2-0 Daniel Santos · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-4-0
UFC record
4-2-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
36.8
AgeΔ 5.4 yrs
31.4
5'7"
HeightΔ 0"
5'7"
70"
ReachΔ 3"
67"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
28.2
Layoff (months)Δ 25.5 mo
2.7
WLWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Daniel Santos hunts takedowns — 2.60 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Daniel Santos owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Julio Arce rarely shoots — 0.49 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Julio Arce

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 3 — regional circuit 142

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.08 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Daniel Santos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 42
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.21 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5034.12/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
3575.15/min · norm 3.54
3753.07/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
3735.38/min · norm 3.47
34.9%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
40.5%norm 45.0%
68.4%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
50.5%norm 54.85%
30.37/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
20.43/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Julio Arce

Distance 95.3% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 0.7% (norm 6.5%)

Daniel Santos

Distance 87.6% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 7.6% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Julio Arce

Head 84.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.4% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 2.3% (norm 7.8%)

Daniel Santos

Head 79.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Arce L/AAccFeatherweight med Santos L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 460 / 1375 33.5% 40.9% 273 / 773 35.3% 40.9%
In the clinch 36 / 58 62.1% 70.8% 32 / 42 76.2% 70.8%
On the ground 7 / 10 too few to rate 69.2% 52 / 67 77.6% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 361 / 1217 29.7% 37.2% 238 / 703 33.9% 37.2%
To the body 116 / 193 60.1% 68.2% 79 / 122 64.8% 68.2%
To the legs 26 / 33 78.8% 80.7% 40 / 57 70.2% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Arce L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Santos L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 309 / 1072 28.8% 39.2% 343 / 711 48.2% 39.2%
In the clinch 41 / 67 61.2% 70.3% 20 / 30 66.7% 70.3%
On the ground 25 / 46 54.3% 69.4% 10 / 12 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 180 / 876 20.5% 35.9% 264 / 615 42.9% 35.9%
To the body 102 / 179 57.0% 67.9% 75 / 100 75.0% 67.9%
To the legs 93 / 130 71.5% 81.5% 34 / 38 89.5% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

428.6% acc · 0.49/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
1233.3% acc · 2.60/15 · norm 1.19
2596.2% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
1173.3% def · norm 61.5%
8:196.8% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
20:4830.0% of cage time · norm 16.7%
16:352:02 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
3:520:50 per 15 · norm 3:12
30.37/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Arce has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.