BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Julianna Pena vs.
Raquel Pennington

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-4-0 Julianna Pena · UFC
13-6-0 Raquel Pennington · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-4-0
UFC record
13-6-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
37
AgeΔ 0.9 yrs
37.9
5'6"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
69"
ReachΔ 2"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
14
Layoff (months)Δ 8 mo
22
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Julianna Pena is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.34 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Julianna Pena hunts takedowns — 1.70 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.91 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Raquel Pennington is a submission threat — 0.62 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.34 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Julianna Pena

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 84
Tier 3 — regional circuit 42

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.0 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Raquel Pennington

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 136
Tier 3 — regional circuit 33

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.99 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 5 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4933.10/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
11934.10/min · norm 3.56
4072.56/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
9663.32/min · norm 3.51
44.5%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
49.2%norm 46.65%
57.2%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
61.1%norm 52.45%
00.00/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
10.05/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Julianna Pena

Distance 74.2% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 7.6% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 7.5%)

Raquel Pennington

Distance 76.8% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 18.1% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Julianna Pena

Head 87.7% (norm 75.2%) · Body 10.6% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 1.7% (norm 8.8%)

Raquel Pennington

Head 75.5% (norm 75.2%) · Body 18.4% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 6.1% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Pena L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Pennington L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 305 / 823 37.1% 38.3% 734 / 1863 39.4% 38.3%
In the clinch 65 / 84 77.4% 73.3% 358 / 438 81.7% 73.3%
On the ground 123 / 202 60.9% 70.8% 101 / 125 80.8% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 387 / 973 39.8% 37.7% 690 / 1831 37.7% 37.7%
To the body 92 / 117 78.6% 70.0% 371 / 447 83.0% 70.0%
To the legs 14 / 19 too few to rate 80.9% 132 / 148 89.2% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Pena L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Pennington L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 297 / 799 37.2% 41.3% 666 / 2067 32.2% 41.3%
In the clinch 46 / 66 69.7% 74.7% 282 / 392 71.9% 74.7%
On the ground 64 / 85 75.3% 74.2% 18 / 23 too few to rate 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 262 / 773 33.9% 38.1% 555 / 1857 29.9% 38.1%
To the body 93 / 113 82.3% 73.2% 271 / 433 62.6% 73.2%
To the legs 52 / 64 81.2% 80.9% 140 / 192 72.9% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1854.5% acc · 1.70/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
1627.6% acc · 0.83/15 · norm 0.91
724.1% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
4062.5% def · norm 62.5%
45:0728.4% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
66:2122.8% of cage time · norm 26.55%
54:375:09 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
73:463:48 per 15 · norm 3:19
80.76/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
120.62/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Pennington has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.