BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Julianna Pena vs.
Jessica Rakoczy

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-4-0 Julianna Pena · UFC
0-2-0 Jessica Rakoczy · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-4-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
37
AgeΔ 12.3 yrs
49.3
5'6"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
69"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
14
Layoff (months)Δ 121.4 mo
135.4
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jessica Rakoczy is a submission threat — 0.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Julianna Pena is a submission threat — 0.76 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.34 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Jessica Rakoczy's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 64% Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Julianna Pena

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 84
Tier 3 — regional circuit 42

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.0 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Jessica Rakoczy

Full career not yet synced for Jessica Rakoczy — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4933.10/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
502.50/min · norm 3.77
4072.56/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
713.55/min · norm 3.94
44.5%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
44.6%norm 44.5%
57.2%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
64.5%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Julianna Pena

Distance 74.2% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 7.6% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 7.5%)

Jessica Rakoczy

Distance 76.8% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 15.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Julianna Pena

Head 87.7% (norm 75.2%) · Body 10.6% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 1.7% (norm 8.8%)

Jessica Rakoczy

Head 71.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 24.1% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.5% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Pena L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Rakoczy L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 305 / 823 37.1% 38.3% 31 / 86 36.0% 38.3%
In the clinch 65 / 84 77.4% 73.3% 13 / 17 too few to rate 72.6%
On the ground 123 / 202 60.9% 70.8% 6 / 9 too few to rate 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 387 / 973 39.8% 37.7% 28 / 80 35.0% 35.4%
To the body 92 / 117 78.6% 70.0% 19 / 27 70.4% 69.3%
To the legs 14 / 19 too few to rate 80.9% 3 / 5 too few to rate 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Pena L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Rakoczy L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 297 / 799 37.2% 41.3% 27 / 105 25.7% 39.7%
In the clinch 46 / 66 69.7% 74.7% 11 / 24 too few to rate 71.5%
On the ground 64 / 85 75.3% 74.2% 33 / 71 46.5% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 262 / 773 33.9% 38.1% 49 / 167 29.3% 36.0%
To the body 93 / 113 82.3% 73.2% 11 / 16 too few to rate 68.4%
To the legs 52 / 64 81.2% 80.9% 11 / 17 too few to rate 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1854.5% acc · 1.70/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
120.0% acc · 0.75/15 · norm 1.10
724.1% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
00.0% def · norm 64.1%
45:0728.4% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
6:2131.8% of cage time · norm 19.4%
54:375:09 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
5:224:01 per 15 · norm 3:00
80.76/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
10.75/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Pena has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.