BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Julian Marquez vs.
Gregory Rodrigues

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

3-5-0 Julian Marquez · UFC
10-3-0 Gregory Rodrigues · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

3-5-0
UFC record
10-3-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
36.2
AgeΔ 1.7 yrs
34.5
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'3"
72"
ReachΔ 3"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
17.2
Layoff (months)Δ 12.2 mo
5
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Julian Marquez is a submission threat — 2.67 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Gregory Rodrigues carries real power — 1.03 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Julian Marquez rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Julian Marquez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 46
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.86 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 15 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.8 wins over .500

Gregory Rodrigues

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 104
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 62

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.35 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3145.09/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
6425.52/min · norm 3.25
3525.71/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
5494.72/min · norm 3.20
45.0%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
51.5%norm 47.4%
49.6%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
50.9%norm 53.8%
10.24/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
81.03/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Julian Marquez

Distance 78.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 15.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 6.6% (norm 10.3%)

Gregory Rodrigues

Distance 87.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Julian Marquez

Head 85.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.7% (norm 8.4%)

Gregory Rodrigues

Head 83.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Marquez L/AAccMiddleweight med Rodrigues L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 210 / 547 38.4% 40.5% 539 / 1094 49.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 70 / 105 66.7% 70.3% 66 / 94 70.2% 70.3%
On the ground 34 / 46 73.9% 69.1% 37 / 59 62.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 242 / 594 40.7% 38.9% 473 / 1038 45.6% 38.9%
To the body 52 / 78 66.7% 71.7% 137 / 169 81.1% 71.7%
To the legs 20 / 26 76.9% 83.3% 32 / 40 80.0% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Marquez L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Rodrigues L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 243 / 521 46.6% 39.5% 473 / 1010 46.8% 39.5%
In the clinch 83 / 137 60.6% 70.9% 66 / 90 73.3% 70.9%
On the ground 26 / 41 63.4% 69.0% 10 / 17 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 276 / 601 45.9% 37.9% 321 / 836 38.4% 37.9%
To the body 56 / 72 77.8% 71.3% 120 / 162 74.1% 71.3%
To the legs 20 / 26 76.9% 82.1% 108 / 119 90.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
1535.7% acc · 1.93/15 · norm 1.42
1145.8% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
975.0% def · norm 63.1%
3:375.9% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
21:4418.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
19:484:48 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
8:051:02 per 15 · norm 3:00
112.67/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
30.39/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rodrigues has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.