Julian Erosa vs.
Fernando Padilla
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Julian Erosa
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 10 | 9 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 0 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 21 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.92 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 26 finish wins over 44 documented bouts
In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500
Fernando Padilla
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 3 | 2 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 3 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 10 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 22 documented bouts
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Julian Erosa
Distance 85.7% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 6.5%)
Fernando Padilla
Distance 86.9% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 8.2% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Julian Erosa
Head 78.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.4% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 7.8%)
Fernando Padilla
Head 82.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 7.8%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Erosa L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Padilla L/A | Acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 664 / 1528 | 43.5% | 40.9% | 118 / 319 | 37.0% | 40.9% |
| In the clinch | 139 / 196 | 70.9% | 70.8% | 12 / 18 | too few to rate | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 52 / 59 | 88.1% | 69.2% | 18 / 30 | 60.0% | 69.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 566 / 1394 | 40.6% | 37.2% | 97 / 301 | 32.2% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 208 / 292 | 71.2% | 68.2% | 29 / 39 | 74.4% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 81 / 97 | 83.5% | 80.7% | 22 / 27 | 81.5% | 80.7% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Erosa L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Padilla L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 738 / 1504 | 49.1% | 39.2% | 136 / 282 | 48.2% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 83 / 133 | 62.4% | 70.3% | 2 / 8 | too few to rate | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 57 / 93 | 61.3% | 69.4% | 2 / 2 | too few to rate | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 643 / 1431 | 44.9% | 35.9% | 88 / 234 | 37.6% | 35.9% |
| To the body | 115 / 153 | 75.2% | 67.9% | 22 / 26 | 84.6% | 67.9% |
| To the legs | 120 / 146 | 82.2% | 81.5% | 30 / 32 | 93.8% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Erosa has more cage time on record.