BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Julian Erosa vs.
Darren Elkins

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-9-0 Julian Erosa · UFC
19-11-0 Darren Elkins · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-9-0
UFC record
19-11-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
37
AgeΔ 5.2 yrs
42.2
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
74"
ReachΔ 3"
71"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
4.3
Layoff (months)Δ 11.5 mo
15.8
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Darren Elkins hunts takedowns — 2.87 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Darren Elkins is a submission threat — 1.07 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Julian Erosa absorbs 6.23 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.47 Featherweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Julian Erosa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 109
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 213

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.92 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 26 finish wins over 44 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Darren Elkins

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1911
Tier 3 — regional circuit 101

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.15 · 19 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 41 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8556.06/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
11903.40/min · norm 3.54
8786.23/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
11693.34/min · norm 3.47
48.0%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
38.4%norm 45.0%
49.2%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
51.2%norm 54.85%
10.11/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
20.09/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Julian Erosa

Distance 85.7% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 3.3% (norm 6.5%)

Darren Elkins

Distance 75.8% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 11.7% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 12.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Julian Erosa

Head 78.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.4% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 7.8%)

Darren Elkins

Head 86.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 2.2% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Erosa L/AAccFeatherweight med Elkins L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 664 / 1528 43.5% 40.9% 685 / 2348 29.2% 40.9%
In the clinch 139 / 196 70.9% 70.8% 242 / 363 66.7% 70.8%
On the ground 52 / 59 88.1% 69.2% 263 / 385 68.3% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 566 / 1394 40.6% 37.2% 904 / 2670 33.9% 37.2%
To the body 208 / 292 71.2% 68.2% 235 / 359 65.5% 68.2%
To the legs 81 / 97 83.5% 80.7% 51 / 67 76.1% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Erosa L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Elkins L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 738 / 1504 49.1% 39.2% 817 / 1924 42.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 83 / 133 62.4% 70.3% 166 / 227 73.1% 70.3%
On the ground 57 / 93 61.3% 69.4% 186 / 244 76.2% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 643 / 1431 44.9% 35.9% 853 / 1992 42.8% 35.9%
To the body 115 / 153 75.2% 67.9% 182 / 245 74.3% 67.9%
To the legs 120 / 146 82.2% 81.5% 134 / 158 84.8% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1744.7% acc · 1.81/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
6734.0% acc · 2.87/15 · norm 1.19
2461.5% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
3256.1% def · norm 61.5%
21:4115.4% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
129:0236.8% of cage time · norm 16.7%
19:272:04 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
53:462:18 per 15 · norm 3:12
70.74/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
251.07/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Elkins has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.