BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Juan Espino vs.
Alexandr Romanov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-1-0 Juan Espino · UFC
7-3-0 Alexandr Romanov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-1-0
UFC record
7-3-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
45
AgeΔ 10 yrs
35
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
80"
ReachΔ 5"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
63.6
Layoff (months)Δ 42.5 mo
21.1
LWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Juan Espino is a submission threat — 2.43 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Juan Espino hunts takedowns — 8.93 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Alexandr Romanov is a submission threat — 0.86 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Juan Espino

Full career not yet synced for Juan Espino — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Alexandr Romanov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 94
Tier 3 — regional circuit 130

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.46 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

442.38/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
3283.78/min · norm 3.36
361.95/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
1852.13/min · norm 3.19
71.0%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
51.7%norm 47.8%
40.0%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
54.1%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Juan Espino

Distance 38.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 14.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 46.8% (norm 9.3%)

Alexandr Romanov

Distance 52.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 5.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 42.5% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Juan Espino

Head 82.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 8.1% (norm 7.6%)

Alexandr Romanov

Head 84.3% (norm 79.2%) · Body 8.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.6% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Espino L/AAccHeavyweight med Romanov L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 9 / 24 too few to rate 40.1% 158 / 330 47.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 9 / 9 too few to rate 70.6% 27 / 35 77.1% 70.6%
On the ground 26 / 29 89.7% 70.2% 143 / 270 53.0% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 36 / 51 70.6% 38.9% 242 / 535 45.2% 38.9%
To the body 6 / 6 too few to rate 76.8% 40 / 52 76.9% 76.8%
To the legs 2 / 5 too few to rate 87.8% 46 / 48 95.8% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Espino L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Romanov L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 8 / 22 too few to rate 40.7% 157 / 369 42.5% 40.7%
In the clinch 10 / 11 too few to rate 70.6% 19 / 24 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 18 / 27 66.7% 72.0% 9 / 10 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 23 / 46 50.0% 38.8% 117 / 320 36.6% 38.8%
To the body 8 / 8 too few to rate 75.1% 36 / 47 76.6% 75.1%
To the legs 5 / 6 too few to rate 84.4% 32 / 36 88.9% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1178.6% acc · 8.93/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
2655.3% acc · 4.49/15 · norm 0.95
250.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
228.6% def · norm 64.3%
8:5147.9% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
42:2248.8% of cage time · norm 17.2%
5:414:36 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
7:531:21 per 15 · norm 2:28
32.43/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
50.86/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Romanov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.